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Start Darren Waller or Gunnar Helm? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 9:41 PM ET.

Start

TE · CAR · at NO

Market projects
5.7
recent weeks avg
NO D vs TE
16.4
8th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
97 of 100 at TE
Snap share
49%
Through Week 9
Target share
12%
Through Week 9
Sit

TE · TEN · vs JAX

Market projects
4.8
recent weeks avg
JAX D vs TE
10.3
6th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
60 of 100 at TE
Snap share
75%
Through Week 8
Target share
11%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Gunnar Helm for Darren Waller?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Darren Waller projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 8 games), Gunnar Helm 41 (5.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Darren Waller over Gunnar Helm.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Darren Waller over Gunnar Helm in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Darren Waller at 5.7 points and Gunnar Helm at 4.8, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Darren Waller this week yet, so his 5.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (6.4, 6.0 and 4.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Gunnar Helm this week yet, so his 4.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (3.9 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Darren Waller yet. His market-based projections were 6.4, 6.0 and 4.7 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Gunnar Helm yet. His market-based projections were 3.9 and 5.8 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 4.8, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Darren Waller 0.9 points ahead of Gunnar Helm on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Darren Waller and CAR visit NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NO allowed 16.4 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 8th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 65 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against NO.

Gunnar Helm and TEN host JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 10.3 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 6th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX.

By points allowed to the position, Darren Waller has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Darren Waller is not on the injury report.

Gunnar Helm is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Darren Waller played 49 percent of CAR snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 14 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Darren Waller, Week 6 against PHI: 36 of 79 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 7 against TB: 25 of 56 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 50 yards, 1 touchdown.

Darren Waller, Week 8 against GB: 45 of 73 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Darren Waller, Week 9 against DEN: 35 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Gunnar Helm played 75 percent of TEN snaps, drew 11 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Gunnar Helm, Week 5 against HOU: 45 of 63 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Gunnar Helm, Week 6 against IND: 33 of 46 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Gunnar Helm, Week 7 against CLE: 53 of 63 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 24 yards.

Gunnar Helm, Week 8 against CIN: 49 of 77 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 76 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Darren Waller played 9 games for MIA and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 210 air yards.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Gunnar Helm played 16 games for TEN and scored 91.7 PPR points, 5.7 a game, finishing TE31.

He caught 44 of 55 targets for 357 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 198 air yards.

He was on the field for 53 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Gunnar Helm for Darren Waller?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Darren Waller projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 8 games), Gunnar Helm 41 (5.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Darren Waller over Gunnar Helm.

  • Should I drop Darren Waller for Gunnar Helm?

    No. Keep Darren Waller: he projects 49 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (6.1 a game over 8 games), Gunnar Helm 41 (5.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Darren Waller over Gunnar Helm.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board