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Start Nate Boerkircher or Davis Allen? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 8:11 AM ET.

Start

TE · JAX · at BAL

Market projects
2.3
fantasy pts
BAL D vs TE
13.5
15th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
44 of 100 at TE
Snap share
48%
Through Week 8
Target share
5%
Through Week 8
Sit

TE · LAR · at WAS

Market projects
2.3
recent weeks avg
WAS D vs TE
20.7
2nd most to TEs (2026)
Upside
Rising
82 of 100 at TE
Snap share
49%
Through Week 8
Target share
5%
Through Week 8

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Our Week 9 call

Start Nate Boerkircher over Davis Allen in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Nate Boerkircher at 2.3 points and Davis Allen at 2.3, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Davis Allen this week yet, so his 2.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (2.5 and 2.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 2.3 fantasy points for Nate Boerkircher, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Nate Boerkircher is 8 receiving yards, 0-1 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (8, 7 and 11 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Davis Allen yet. His market-based projections were 2.5 and 2.1 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 2.3, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Nate Boerkircher 0.0 points ahead of Davis Allen on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Nate Boerkircher and JAX visit BAL on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 13.5 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 47 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against BAL.

Davis Allen and LAR visit WAS on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

WAS allowed 20.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 75 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against WAS.

By points allowed to the position, Davis Allen has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Nate Boerkircher is not on the injury report.

Davis Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Nate Boerkircher played 48 percent of JAX snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 4 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Nate Boerkircher, Week 4 against CIN: 21 of 61 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 15 yards.

Nate Boerkircher, Week 5 against PHI: 35 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards.

Nate Boerkircher, Week 6 against HOU: 39 of 71 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards, 1 touchdown.

Nate Boerkircher, Week 8 against IND: 26 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Davis Allen played 49 percent of LAR snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 4 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Davis Allen, Week 5 against BUF: 41 of 82 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards.

Davis Allen, Week 6 against ARI: 18 of 58 snaps, 1 carry for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Davis Allen, Week 7 against LV: 50 of 72 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 20 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Davis Allen, Week 8 against LAC: 40 of 54 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Davis Allen played 17 games for LAR and scored 62.8 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE44.

He caught 24 of 33 targets for 208 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 71 air yards.

He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board