Start Jordan Addison or Deebo Samuel Sr.? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 4:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Jordan Addison over Deebo Samuel Sr.

Start

Jordan Addison

WR · MIN · vs IND

Market projects: 9.6; fantasy pts
IND D vs WR: 30.8; 13th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 83 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 92%; Through Week 4
Target share: 22%; Through Week 4

Sit

Deebo Samuel Sr.

WR · SF · at ATL · Out

Market projects: 9.2; recent weeks avg
ATL D vs WR: 37.0; 6th most to WRs (2026)

Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Jordan Addison?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jordan Addison projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 11 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (2.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jordan Addison over Deebo Samuel Sr. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jordan Addison over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 7.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out on the injury report, so this is not a close call: start Jordan Addison. Drafters take Jordan Addison at ADP 102 and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 118.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.6 fantasy points for Jordan Addison, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jordan Addison is 44 receiving yards, 3-4 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (12, 10 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Deebo Samuel Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 9.3 and 9.1 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 9.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Jordan Addison 0.4 points ahead of Deebo Samuel Sr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jordan Addison and MIN host IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

IND allowed 30.8 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 149 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against IND.

Deebo Samuel Sr. and SF visit ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

ATL allowed 37.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 6th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 180 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against ATL.

By points allowed to the position, Deebo Samuel Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jordan Addison is not on the injury report.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed as out with a hamstring injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 4, Jordan Addison played 92 percent of MIN snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 36 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Jordan Addison, Week 1 against GB: 54 of 65 snaps, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Jordan Addison, Week 2 against CHI: 46 of 52 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 21 yards.

Jordan Addison, Week 3 against TB: 58 of 59 snaps, 9 targets and 5 catches for 90 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jordan Addison, Week 4 against MIA: 75 of 78 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 6 targets and 4 catches for 52 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jordan Addison played 14 games for MIN and scored 135.1 PPR points, 9.7 a game, finishing WR45.

He caught 42 of 79 targets for 610 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 477 air yards.

He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Deebo Samuel Sr. played 16 games for WAS and scored 188.2 PPR points, 11.8 a game, finishing WR25.

He caught 72 of 99 targets for 727 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 261 air yards.

He was on the field for 72 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 18 of 2025 against PHI: 2 carries for 1 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 20 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DAL: 36 of 44 snaps, 2 carries for 25 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 68 yards, 11.3 PPR points.

Deebo Samuel Sr., Week 16 of 2025 against PHI: 44 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 35 yards, 6.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Deebo Samuel Sr. for Jordan Addison?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Jordan Addison projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 11 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (2.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jordan Addison over Deebo Samuel Sr. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.
Should I drop Jordan Addison for Deebo Samuel Sr.?
No. Keep Jordan Addison: he projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (9.3 a game over 11 games), Deebo Samuel Sr. 26 (2.6 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Jordan Addison over Deebo Samuel Sr. Deebo Samuel Sr. is listed out.