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Start Keaton Mitchell or Dylan Sampson? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 11:11 AM ET.

Start

RB · CLE · vs HOU

Market projects
6.5
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs RB
22.3
12th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
39 of 100 at RB
Snap share
55%
Through Week 9
Target share
16%
Through Week 9
Sit

RB · LAC · at BAL

Market projects
4.4
recent weeks avg
BAL D vs RB
19.9
11th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
20 of 100 at RB
Snap share
31%
Through Week 9
Target share
9%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Dylan Sampson for Keaton Mitchell?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Keaton Mitchell projects 20 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (2.5 a game over 8 games), Dylan Sampson 13 (1.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Dylan Sampson at 6.5 points and Keaton Mitchell at 4.4, a gap of 2.1. No player market is posted for Dylan Sampson this week yet, so his 6.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (5.9, 6.4 and 7.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell this week yet, so his 4.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 8 and 9 (4.6 and 4.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Dylan Sampson at ADP 187 and Keaton Mitchell at 190.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Dylan Sampson yet. His market-based projections were 5.9, 6.4 and 7.2 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 6.5, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

No Week 10 player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 4.6 and 4.2 points in Weeks 8 and 9, an average of 4.4, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Dylan Sampson 2.1 points ahead of Keaton Mitchell on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Dylan Sampson and CLE host HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 22.3 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 12th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 91 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 21 more yards.

Keaton Mitchell and LAC visit BAL on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BAL allowed 19.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 9 games, the 11th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and a touchdown a game against BAL and caught passes for 17 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Dylan Sampson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dylan Sampson is not on the injury report.

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Dylan Sampson played 55 percent of CLE snaps, took 20 percent of the carries, drew 16 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Dylan Sampson, Week 7 against TEN: 32 of 70 snaps, 6 carries for 45 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 32 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 8 against PIT: 39 of 70 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 62 yards.

Dylan Sampson, Week 9 against NO: 47 of 73 snaps, 8 carries for 21 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Through Week 9, Keaton Mitchell played 31 percent of LAC snaps, took 21 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 6 against KC: 17 of 68 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 8 against LAR: 19 of 61 snaps, 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 9 against HOU: 18 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 33 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Dylan Sampson for Keaton Mitchell?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Keaton Mitchell projects 20 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (2.5 a game over 8 games), Dylan Sampson 13 (1.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell. So make the move after his Week 10 game.

  • Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Dylan Sampson?

    No. Keep Keaton Mitchell: he projects 20 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (2.5 a game over 8 games), Dylan Sampson 13 (1.9 a game over 7 games). For Week 10 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell.

Should I drop Dylan Sampson?Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board