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Should I start Dylan Sampson or Keaton Mitchell in Week 9?

Updated Nov 3, 6:51 AM ET.

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  • : Dylan Sampson: Listed Questionable (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)

Week 9 verdict

Start

RB · CLE · at NO

Market projects
6.1
recent weeks avg
NO D vs RB
30.0
most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
46%
Through Week 8
Target share
15%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · LAC · vs HOU

Market projects
5.8
recent weeks avg
HOU D vs RB
22.3
12th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
32%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8
Start Sampson or Mitchell? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Dylan Sampson: 46 percent of the snaps and 21 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Keaton Mitchell's 32 percent of the snaps and 20 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Dylan Sampson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Dylan Sampson projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.1 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell.

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB47 · CLE · bye 11

2025 vs anytime td line 2-13

Market-based projection
6.4 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
192

RB51 · LAC · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 2-5

Market-based projection
4.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
198

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The gap

  • Board size297 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Dylan Sampson, and the board ranks him 192nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Keaton Mitchell, and the board ranks him 198th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Dylan Sampson is 1.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Keaton Mitchell is 1.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Dylan Sampson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Dylan Sampson has been on the field for 46 percent of CLE snaps, taken 16 percent of the carries, drawn 15 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 18 third down targets, had 0 of its 6 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 19 two minute targets.

His 11 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against TEN he carried 6 times for 45 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against PIT he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 6 of 8 targets for 62 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Keaton Mitchell has been on the field for 32 percent of LAC snaps, taken 20 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 10 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 1 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have come 1.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against DEN he carried 6 times for 11 yards, caught 3 of 4 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against KC he carried 2 times for 4 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against LAR he carried 4 times for 6 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 17 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dylan Sampson played 15 games and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He carried 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 more yards.

That came to 4.3 carries a game at 2.7 yards a carry and 2.2 catches a game.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Keaton Mitchell played 13 games and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He carried 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 more yards.

That came to 4-5 carries a game at 5.8 yards a carry and 0.7 catches a game.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Dylan Sampson was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Dylan Sampson scored 5.8 PPR points a game and Keaton Mitchell 4.3, 1.6 a game between them.

Dylan Sampson finished RB55 that year and Keaton Mitchell RB67.

Dylan Sampson had 6 more carries than Keaton Mitchell, 65 to 59.

Dylan Sampson had 24 more catches than Keaton Mitchell, 33 to 9.

This season Dylan Sampson holds the bigger snap share, 46 percent against 32 percent.

This season Keaton Mitchell holds the bigger share of the carries, 20 percent against 16 percent.

Byes and availability

Dylan Sampson is off in Week 11 and Keaton Mitchell in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Dylan Sampson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Dylan Sampson projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.1 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell.

  • Should I drop Dylan Sampson for Keaton Mitchell?

    No. Keep Dylan Sampson: he projects 33 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.1 a game over 8 games), Keaton Mitchell 25 (2.8 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Dylan Sampson over Keaton Mitchell.

Should I drop Dylan Sampson?Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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