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Start Ja'Kobi Lane or Efton Chism III? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 7:41 AM ET.

Start Efton Chism III over Ja'Kobi Lane

Start

Efton Chism III

WR · NE · vs GB

Market projects
4.9
recent weeks avg
GB D vs WR
35.7
9th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
63%
Through Week 8
Target share
12%
Through Week 8
Sit

Ja'Kobi Lane

WR · BAL · vs JAX

Market projects
3.9
fantasy pts
JAX D vs WR
38.0
4th most to WRs (2026)
Snap share
54%
Through Week 8
Target share
12%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Efton Chism III for Ja'Kobi Lane?

Not on these numbers alone. Efton Chism III projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.3 a game over 8 games) and Ja'Kobi Lane 34 (4.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Efton Chism III over Ja'Kobi Lane.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Efton Chism III over Ja'Kobi Lane in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Efton Chism III at 4.9 points and Ja'Kobi Lane at 3.9, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Efton Chism III this week yet, so his 4.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (3.5, 4.4 and 6.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Efton Chism III yet. His market-based projections were 3.5, 4.4 and 6.8 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 4.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 0.3 touchdowns (7 market sources).

Player markets imply 3.9 fantasy points for Ja'Kobi Lane, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ja'Kobi Lane is 17 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.1 touchdowns (11, 11 and 11 market sources).

That puts Efton Chism III 1.0 points ahead of Ja'Kobi Lane on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Efton Chism III and NE host GB on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

GB allowed 35.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 9th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 157 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against GB.

Ja'Kobi Lane and BAL host JAX on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

JAX allowed 38.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 4th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 210 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against JAX.

By points allowed to the position, Ja'Kobi Lane has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.

Ja'Kobi Lane is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Efton Chism III played 63 percent of NE snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Efton Chism III, Week 7 against CHI: 34 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Efton Chism III, Week 8 against MIA: 5 targets and 5 catches for 37 yards.

Through Week 8, Ja'Kobi Lane played 54 percent of BAL snaps, drew 12 percent of the targets, earned 16 percent of the air yards and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 1 against IND: 27 of 68 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 6 against CLE: 31 of 57 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 40 yards.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 7 against CIN: 46 of 67 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 25 yards.

Ja'Kobi Lane, Week 8 against BUF: 1 target and 1 catch for 13 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Efton Chism III, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 1 target and 1 catch for 35 yards, 4.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Efton Chism III for Ja'Kobi Lane?

    Not on these numbers alone. Efton Chism III projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.3 a game over 8 games) and Ja'Kobi Lane 34 (4.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Efton Chism III over Ja'Kobi Lane.

  • Should I drop Ja'Kobi Lane for Efton Chism III?

    Not on these numbers alone. Ja'Kobi Lane projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (4.3 a game over 8 games) and Efton Chism III 34 (4.3 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Efton Chism III over Ja'Kobi Lane.

Should I drop Efton Chism III?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board