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Start Efton Chism III or Xavier Hutchinson? Week 10

Updated Nov 10, 6:26 PM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Munich, set your lineup before then.

Start Efton Chism III over Xavier Hutchinson

Start

Efton Chism III

WR · NE · at DET

Market projects
5.7
recent weeks avg
DET D vs WR
37.7
2nd most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
75 of 100 at WR
Snap share
67%
Through Week 9
Target share
13%
Through Week 9
Sit

Xavier Hutchinson

WR · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
4.7
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs WR
29.3
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
44 of 100 at WR
Snap share
58%
Through Week 9
Target share
17%
Through Week 9

Should I drop Efton Chism III for Xavier Hutchinson?

Not on these numbers alone. Efton Chism III projects 29 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.2 a game over 7 games) and Xavier Hutchinson 31 (3.9 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Efton Chism III over Xavier Hutchinson.

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Our Week 10 call

Start Efton Chism III over Xavier Hutchinson in Week 10.

Market-based projections have Efton Chism III at 5.7 points and Xavier Hutchinson at 4.7, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Efton Chism III this week yet, so his 5.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (4.4, 6.8 and 5.8); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Xavier Hutchinson this week yet, so his 4.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 9 (3.7 and 5.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 10 player market is posted for Efton Chism III yet. His market-based projections were 4.4, 6.8 and 5.8 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 5.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

The market-based projection for Efton Chism III is 0.3 touchdowns (12 market sources).

No Week 10 player market is posted for Xavier Hutchinson yet. His market-based projections were 3.7 and 5.7 points in Weeks 7 and 9, an average of 4.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.

That puts Efton Chism III 1.0 points ahead of Xavier Hutchinson on these projections.

Week 10 matchups

Efton Chism III and NE visit DET on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

DET allowed 37.7 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 176 yards and 0.9 touchdowns a game against DET.

Xavier Hutchinson and HOU visit CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 29.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 9 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 144 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against CLE.

By points allowed to the position, Efton Chism III has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Efton Chism III is not on the injury report.

Xavier Hutchinson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 10

Through Week 9, Efton Chism III played 67 percent of NE snaps, drew 13 percent of the targets, earned 9 percent of the air yards and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

Efton Chism III, Week 7 against CHI: 34 of 54 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 16 yards.

Efton Chism III, Week 8 against MIA: 53 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 37 yards.

Efton Chism III, Week 9 against GB: 32 of 63 snaps, 5 targets and 5 catches for 49 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 9, Xavier Hutchinson played 58 percent of HOU snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 5 against TEN: 27 of 66 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 65 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 6 against JAX: 34 of 63 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 10 yards.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 7 against NYG: 34 of 61 snaps, 2 carries for 12 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.

Xavier Hutchinson, Week 9 against LAC: 57 of 70 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 29 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Efton Chism III played 8 games for NE and scored 16.5 PPR points, 2.1 a game.

He caught 3 of 3 targets for 75 yards and 1 touchdown, with 1 red zone target and 35 air yards.

He was on the field for 14 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Xavier Hutchinson played 17 games for HOU and scored 98.0 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR64.

He caught 35 of 57 targets for 428 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 282 air yards.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 10 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Efton Chism III for Xavier Hutchinson?

    Not on these numbers alone. Efton Chism III projects 29 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (4.2 a game over 7 games) and Xavier Hutchinson 31 (3.9 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Efton Chism III over Xavier Hutchinson.

  • Should I drop Xavier Hutchinson for Efton Chism III?

    Not on these numbers alone. Xavier Hutchinson projects 31 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (3.9 a game over 8 games) and Efton Chism III 29 (4.2 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Efton Chism III over Xavier Hutchinson.

Week 10 on the board

Elsewhere on the board