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Start Travis Kelce or Isaiah Likely? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 6:46 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Travis Kelce: Listed Questionable (Ankle) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Travis Kelce over Isaiah Likely

Kelce projects lower, 11.6 to 12.9, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 113 for Kelce, 144 for Likely.

Start

Travis Kelce

TE · KC · vs NYJ

Market projects
11.6
recent weeks avg
NYJ D vs TE
13.9
15th most to TEs (2026)
Upside
High
90 of 100 at TE
Snap share
78%
Through Week 8
Target share
19%
Through Week 8
Sit

Isaiah Likely

TE · NYG · at PHI

Market projects
12.8
recent weeks avg
PHI D vs TE
9.6
3rd fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
64 of 100 at TE
Snap share
76%
Through Week 7
Target share
27%
Through Week 7

Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Travis Kelce?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Travis Kelce projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 9 games), Isaiah Likely 90 (10.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Travis Kelce over Isaiah Likely.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Travis Kelce over Isaiah Likely in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Travis Kelce at 11.6 points and Isaiah Likely at 12.8, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Travis Kelce still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 113 against 144, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Travis Kelce this week yet, so his 11.6 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (12.7, 11.1 and 10.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Isaiah Likely this week yet, so his 12.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 7 (13.5 and 12.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Isaiah Likely yet. His market-based projections were 13.5 and 12.2 points in Weeks 6 and 7, an average of 12.9, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Isaiah Likely is 0.3 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Travis Kelce yet. His market-based projections were 12.7, 11.1 and 10.9 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 11.6, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Travis Kelce is 0.4 touchdowns (9 market sources).

That puts Isaiah Likely 1.3 points ahead of Travis Kelce on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Isaiah Likely and NYG visit PHI on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

PHI allowed 9.6 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 3rd fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 42 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against PHI.

Travis Kelce and KC host NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 13.9 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 8 games, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 60 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against NYJ.

By points allowed to the position, Travis Kelce has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Isaiah Likely is not on the injury report.

Travis Kelce is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, Isaiah Likely played 76 percent of NYG snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 22 percent of the air yards and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Likely, Week 4 against ARI: 44 of 67 snaps, 12 targets and 7 catches for 66 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 5 against WAS: 71 of 89 snaps, 13 targets and 11 catches for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Isaiah Likely, Week 6 against NO: 70 of 77 snaps, 11 targets and 6 catches for 99 yards, 1 touchdown.

Isaiah Likely, Week 7 against HOU: 57 of 66 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Through Week 8, Travis Kelce played 78 percent of KC snaps, drew 19 percent of the targets, earned 20 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Travis Kelce, Week 4 against LV: 50 of 60 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 15 yards.

Travis Kelce, Week 6 against LAC: 40 of 61 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 53 yards.

Travis Kelce, Week 7 against SEA: 44 of 53 snaps, 8 targets and 4 catches for 44 yards.

Travis Kelce, Week 8 against DEN: 54 of 69 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 67 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Isaiah Likely played 14 games for BAL and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 190 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Travis Kelce played 17 games for KC and scored 193.2 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing TE3.

He caught 76 of 108 targets for 851 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets and 428 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Isaiah Likely for Travis Kelce?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Travis Kelce projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 9 games), Isaiah Likely 90 (10.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Travis Kelce over Isaiah Likely.

  • Should I drop Travis Kelce for Isaiah Likely?

    No. Keep Travis Kelce: he projects 104 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (11.5 a game over 9 games), Isaiah Likely 90 (10.0 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Travis Kelce over Isaiah Likely.

Should I drop Isaiah Likely?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board