Should I drop Jahan Dotson for Tez Johnson?

Not on these numbers alone. Jahan Dotson projects 48 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (5.3 a game over 9 games) and Tez Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jahan Dotson over Tez Johnson, 6.8 to 6.6 projected PPR points.

Start Jahan Dotson or Tez Johnson? Week 7

Updated Oct 24, 9:16 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

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Oct 23, 1:13 PM ET: Emeka Egbuka: Questionable to Out (Concussion) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Jahan Dotson over Tez Johnson

Start

Jahan Dotson

WR · ATL · vs SF

Market projects: 6.8; fantasy pts
SF D vs WR: 29.9; 10th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 53 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 70%; Through Week 6
Target share: 14%; Through Week 6

Sit

Tez Johnson

WR · TB · at CAR

Market projects: 6.5; fantasy pts
CAR D vs WR: 29.4; 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 10 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 34%; Through Week 6
Target share: 7%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Tez Johnson for Jahan Dotson?

Not on these numbers alone. Tez Johnson projects 45 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 9 games) and Jahan Dotson 48 (5.3 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jahan Dotson over Tez Johnson, 6.8 to 6.6 projected PPR points.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Jahan Dotson over Tez Johnson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Jahan Dotson at 6.8 points and Tez Johnson at 6.5, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.8 fantasy points for Jahan Dotson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jahan Dotson is 30 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (12, 13 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Tez Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tez Johnson is 29 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (13, 13 and 13 market sources).

That puts Jahan Dotson 0.3 points ahead of Tez Johnson on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Jahan Dotson and ATL host SF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

SF allowed 30.0 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 10th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 138 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against SF.

Tez Johnson and TB visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 29.4 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.4 touchdowns a game against CAR.

By points allowed to the position, Jahan Dotson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jahan Dotson is not on the injury report.

Tez Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Jahan Dotson played 70 percent of ATL snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 34 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Jahan Dotson, Week 3 against GB: 47 of 71 snaps, 3 targets and 1 catch for 11 yards.

Jahan Dotson, Week 4 against NO: 36 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jahan Dotson, Week 5 against BAL: 42 of 64 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards.

Jahan Dotson, Week 6 against CHI: 47 of 55 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 87 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Tez Johnson played 34 percent of TB snaps, drew 7 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Tez Johnson, Week 3 against MIN: 16 of 69 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 8 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 4 against GB: 35 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 10 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 5 against DAL: 28 of 72 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 64 yards.

Tez Johnson, Week 6 against PIT: 25 of 74 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jahan Dotson played 17 games for PHI and scored 50.2 PPR points, 3.0 a game, finishing WR109.

He caught 18 of 36 targets for 262 yards and 1 touchdown, with 3 red zone targets and 212 air yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tez Johnson played 16 games for TB and scored 92.4 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing WR67.

He caught 28 of 44 targets for 322 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets and 212 air yards.

He was on the field for 47 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Tez Johnson for Jahan Dotson?
Not on these numbers alone. Tez Johnson projects 45 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (5.0 a game over 9 games) and Jahan Dotson 48 (5.3 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jahan Dotson over Tez Johnson, 6.8 to 6.6 projected PPR points.
Should I drop Jahan Dotson for Tez Johnson?
Not on these numbers alone. Jahan Dotson projects 48 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (5.3 a game over 9 games) and Tez Johnson 45 (5.0 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 7 the call starts Jahan Dotson over Tez Johnson, 6.8 to 6.6 projected PPR points.