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Start Jake Ferguson or Mike Gesicki? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 9:36 AM ET.

Start

TE · CIN · at BAL

Market projects
6.8
recent weeks avg
BAL D vs TE
10.4
8th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
48 of 100 at TE
Snap share
46%
Through Week 5
Target share
9%
Through Week 5
Sit

TE · DAL · at PHI

Market projects
6.2
fantasy pts
PHI D vs TE
11.7
13th fewest to TEs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
64 of 100 at TE
Snap share
68%
Through Week 6
Target share
10%
Through Week 6

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Our Week 7 call

Start Mike Gesicki over Jake Ferguson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Mike Gesicki at 6.8 points and Jake Ferguson at 6.2, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Mike Gesicki this week yet, so his 6.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 5 (6.7 and 6.9); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Mike Gesicki yet. His market-based projections were 6.7 and 6.9 points in Weeks 4 and 5, an average of 6.8, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Mike Gesicki is 0.2 touchdowns (3 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.2 fantasy points for Jake Ferguson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market-based projection for Jake Ferguson is 20 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (5, 5 and 8 market sources).

That puts Mike Gesicki 0.6 points ahead of Jake Ferguson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Mike Gesicki and CIN visit BAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BAL allowed 10.5 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 36 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against BAL.

Jake Ferguson and DAL visit PHI on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

PHI allowed 11.7 fantasy points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 13th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 48 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against PHI.

By points allowed to the position, Jake Ferguson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Mike Gesicki is not on the injury report.

Jake Ferguson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 5, Mike Gesicki played 46 percent of CIN snaps, drew 9 percent of the targets, earned 13 percent of the air yards and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Mike Gesicki, Week 2 against HOU: 21 of 60 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Mike Gesicki, Week 3 against PIT: 29 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Gesicki, Week 4 against JAX: 47 of 76 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 40 yards, 1 touchdown.

Mike Gesicki, Week 5 against MIA: 29 of 65 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Jake Ferguson played 68 percent of DAL snaps, drew 10 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

Jake Ferguson, Week 3 against BAL: 51 of 74 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 23 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jake Ferguson, Week 4 against HOU: 55 of 78 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 11 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 5 against TB: 50 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Jake Ferguson, Week 6 against GB: 42 of 78 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Mike Gesicki played 13 games for CIN and scored 70.7 PPR points, 5.4 a game, finishing TE41.

He caught 28 of 42 targets for 307 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets and 244 air yards.

He was on the field for 38 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jake Ferguson played 17 games for DAL and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets and 293 air yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Week 7 on the board

Elsewhere on the board