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Should I start Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Nico Collins in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 11:56 AM ET.

Week 10 verdict

Start

WR · SEA · at LV

Market projects
20.9
recent weeks avg
LV D vs WR
33.8
11th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
High
92 of 100 at WR
Snap share
84%
Through Week 9
Target share
36%
Through Week 9
Sit

WR · HOU · at CLE

Market projects
14.8
recent weeks avg
CLE D vs WR
29.3
12th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
42 of 100 at WR
Snap share
71%
Through Week 9
Target share
20%
Through Week 9
Start Smith-Njigba or Collins? The full Week 10 breakdown

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 83 percent of the snaps and 37 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Nico Collins's 71 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Nico Collins for Jaxon Smith-Njigba?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaxon Smith-Njigba projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (20.0 a game over 7 games), Nico Collins 122 (15.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Nico Collins.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

WR13 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 6-3

Market-based projection
21.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
46

WR22 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-3

Market-based projection
14.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
62

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and the board ranks him 46th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 8.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Nico Collins, and the board ranks him 62nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market-based projection for Jaxon Smith-Njigba is 4.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Nico Collins is 3.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 7 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been on the field for 84 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 36 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 32 of the offence's 78 third down targets, had 2 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 21 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 99 targets have averaged 10.1 air yards.

In Week 7 against KC he carried 2 times for 13 yards, caught 9 of 12 targets for 150 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against CHI he caught 6 of 11 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against ARI he caught 7 of 10 targets for 51 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Nico Collins has been on the field for 71 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 20 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 9 of the offence's 45 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 36 two minute targets.

His 39 targets have averaged 12.0 air yards.

In Week 6 against JAX he carried 1 time for 5 yards, caught 3 of 5 targets for 74 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYG he caught 2 of 5 targets for 6 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against LAC he caught 4 of 4 targets for 55 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 17 games and scored 359.9 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing WR2.

He caught 119 of 163 targets for 1793 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 9.6 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 15.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Nico Collins played 15 games and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets.

That came to 8.0 targets a game, a 59 percent catch rate and 15.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jaxon Smith-Njigba scored 21.2 PPR points a game and Nico Collins 15.1, 6.1 a game between them.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba finished WR2 that year and Nico Collins WR8.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 43 more targets than Nico Collins, 163 to 120.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 676 more receiving yards than Nico Collins, 1793 to 1117.

This season Jaxon Smith-Njigba holds the bigger snap share, 84 percent against 71 percent.

This season Jaxon Smith-Njigba holds the bigger target share, 36 percent against 20 percent.

Byes and availability

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is off in Week 11 and Nico Collins in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Nico Collins for Jaxon Smith-Njigba?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Jaxon Smith-Njigba projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (20.0 a game over 7 games), Nico Collins 122 (15.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Nico Collins.

  • Should I drop Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Nico Collins?

    No. Keep Jaxon Smith-Njigba: he projects 140 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (20.0 a game over 7 games), Nico Collins 122 (15.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Nico Collins.

Should I drop Nico Collins?

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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