Start Kaleb Johnson or Justice Hill? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 4:56 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Kaleb Johnson over Justice Hill

Start

Kaleb Johnson

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects: 5.2; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 18.7; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 18 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 22%; Through Week 6
Target share: 2%; Through Week 6

Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · vs CIN

Market projects: 5.2; recent weeks avg
CIN D vs RB: 18.6; 7th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 35 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 42%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Justice Hill for Kaleb Johnson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kaleb Johnson projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.2 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 28 (2.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kaleb Johnson over Justice Hill.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Kaleb Johnson over Justice Hill in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Kaleb Johnson at 5.2 points and Justice Hill at 5.2, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Kaleb Johnson this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.7, 6.0 and 3.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (4.9, 6.2 and 4.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Kaleb Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 6.7, 6.0 and 3.0 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

No Week 7 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.9, 6.2 and 4.6 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 0.2 touchdowns (13 market sources).

That puts Kaleb Johnson 0.0 points ahead of Justice Hill on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Kaleb Johnson and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 32 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Kaleb Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kaleb Johnson is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Kaleb Johnson played 22 percent of GB snaps, took 29 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 3 against ATL: 24 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 4 against TB: 17 of 60 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 5 against CHI: 9 of 61 snaps, 7 carries for 26 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 6 against DAL: 4 of 75 snaps, 1 carry for -2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 6, Justice Hill played 42 percent of BAL snaps, took 10 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kaleb Johnson played 10 games for PIT and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.

He ran 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 yards.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justice Hill for Kaleb Johnson?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Kaleb Johnson projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.2 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 28 (2.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kaleb Johnson over Justice Hill.
Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Justice Hill?
No. Keep Kaleb Johnson: he projects 42 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (4.2 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 28 (2.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Kaleb Johnson over Justice Hill.