Start Pierre Strong Jr. or Justice Hill? Week 7

Updated Oct 22, 2:01 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Justice Hill over Pierre Strong Jr.

Start

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · vs CIN

Market projects: 5.2; recent weeks avg
CIN D vs RB: 18.6; 7th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 47 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 42%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Sit

Pierre Strong Jr.

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects: 4.9; fantasy pts
DET D vs RB: 18.7; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 85 of 100 at RB

Should I drop Justice Hill for Pierre Strong Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Pierre Strong Jr. projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 27 (2.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Justice Hill over Pierre Strong Jr. So make the move after his Week 7 game.

Parlae may earn a commission from price links.

Pierre Strong Jr. rookie cards

Make this call for your own roster

Sync your league and My Team sets this week's lineup for your actual roster, spot by spot. Free, no account.

Sync my league

Sleeper ESPN Yahoo

Or get it by email

Tuesday 8am ET: one email with what moved on the board and who is worth a claim.

Free. One a week, one tap to stop.

Our Week 7 call

Start Justice Hill over Pierre Strong Jr. in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Justice Hill at 5.2 points and Pierre Strong Jr. at 4.9, a gap of 0.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (4.9, 6.2 and 4.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.9, 6.2 and 4.6 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 0.2 touchdowns (13 market sources).

Player markets imply 4.9 fantasy points for Pierre Strong Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Pierre Strong Jr. is 11 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (6, 5, 4 and 13 market sources).

That puts Justice Hill 0.3 points ahead of Pierre Strong Jr. on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Justice Hill and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 32 more yards.

Pierre Strong Jr. and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Pierre Strong Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Pierre Strong Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Justice Hill played 42 percent of BAL snaps, took 10 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justice Hill for Pierre Strong Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Pierre Strong Jr. projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 27 (2.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Justice Hill over Pierre Strong Jr. So make the move after his Week 7 game.
Should I drop Pierre Strong Jr. for Justice Hill?
No. Keep Pierre Strong Jr.: he projects 63 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (6.3 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 27 (2.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Justice Hill over Pierre Strong Jr.