Start Tyrone Tracy Jr. or Justice Hill? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 5:01 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tyrone Tracy Jr. over Justice Hill

Start

Tyrone Tracy Jr.

RB · NYG · at HOU

Market projects: 6.3; fantasy pts
HOU D vs RB: 18.9; 9th fewest to RBs (2026)

Sit

Justice Hill

RB · BAL · vs CIN

Market projects: 5.2; recent weeks avg
CIN D vs RB: 18.6; 7th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 35 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 42%; Through Week 6
Target share: 8%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Justice Hill for Tyrone Tracy Jr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyrone Tracy Jr. projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.4 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 27 (2.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyrone Tracy Jr. over Justice Hill.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tyrone Tracy Jr. over Justice Hill in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tyrone Tracy Jr. at 6.3 points and Justice Hill at 5.2, a gap of 1.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Justice Hill this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (4.9, 6.2 and 4.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Tyrone Tracy Jr. at ADP 192 and Justice Hill at 206.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.3 fantasy points for Tyrone Tracy Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Tyrone Tracy Jr. is 24 rushing yards, 10 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.2 touchdowns (9, 9, 11 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Justice Hill yet. His market-based projections were 4.9, 6.2 and 4.6 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Justice Hill is 0.2 touchdowns (13 market sources).

That puts Tyrone Tracy Jr. 1.0 points ahead of Justice Hill on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tyrone Tracy Jr. and NYG visit HOU on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

HOU allowed 18.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 9th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 76 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against HOU and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Justice Hill and BAL host CIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CIN allowed 18.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 82 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 32 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyrone Tracy Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyrone Tracy Jr. is not on the injury report.

Justice Hill is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Justice Hill played 42 percent of BAL snaps, took 10 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

Justice Hill, Week 3 against DAL: 21 of 64 snaps, 5 carries for 33 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 4 against TEN: 24 of 64 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 5 against ATL: 35 of 76 snaps, 4 carries for 73 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards.

Justice Hill, Week 6 against CLE: 24 of 57 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyrone Tracy Jr. played 15 games for NYG and scored 160.8 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing RB28.

He ran 176 times for 740 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 36 of 48 targets for 288 yards.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against DAL: 18 carries for 103 yards, 9 targets and 8 catches for 56 yards, 1 touchdown, 27.9 PPR points.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against LV: 42 of 64 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -5 yards, 6.7 PPR points.

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against MIN: 35 of 56 snaps, 16 carries for 71 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 9.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.

He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Justice Hill for Tyrone Tracy Jr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyrone Tracy Jr. projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.4 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 27 (2.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyrone Tracy Jr. over Justice Hill.
Should I drop Tyrone Tracy Jr. for Justice Hill?
No. Keep Tyrone Tracy Jr.: he projects 34 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (3.4 a game over 10 games), Justice Hill 27 (2.7 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tyrone Tracy Jr. over Justice Hill.