Start Ollie Gordon II or Kaleb Johnson? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Ollie Gordon II over Kaleb Johnson

Start

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 9.7; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB: 21.9; 14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 89 of 100 at RB

Sit

Kaleb Johnson

RB · GB · at DET

Market projects: 5.2; recent weeks avg
DET D vs RB: 18.7; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 20 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 22%; Through Week 6
Target share: 2%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Ollie Gordon II?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Kaleb Johnson 42 (4.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Kaleb Johnson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Ollie Gordon II over Kaleb Johnson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Ollie Gordon II at 9.7 points and Kaleb Johnson at 5.2, a gap of 4.4. No player market is posted for Kaleb Johnson this week yet, so his 5.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (6.7, 6.0 and 3.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Kaleb Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 6.7, 6.0 and 3.0 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 5.2, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Ollie Gordon II, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 50 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11, 9 and 11 market sources).

That puts Ollie Gordon II 4.4 points ahead of Kaleb Johnson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Kaleb Johnson and GB visit DET on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

DET allowed 18.7 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 5 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 84 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against DET and caught passes for 16 more yards.

Ollie Gordon II and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 25 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Kaleb Johnson is not on the injury report.

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Kaleb Johnson played 22 percent of GB snaps, took 29 percent of the carries, drew 2 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 3 against ATL: 24 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 6 yards, 3 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 4 against TB: 17 of 60 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 5 against CHI: 9 of 61 snaps, 7 carries for 26 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Kaleb Johnson, Week 6 against DAL: 4 of 75 snaps, 1 carry for -2 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kaleb Johnson played 10 games for PIT and scored 8.8 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing RB115.

He ran 28 times for 69 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 1 of 2 targets for 9 yards.

He was on the field for 6 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 3 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, -0.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Kaleb Johnson for Ollie Gordon II?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Kaleb Johnson 42 (4.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Kaleb Johnson.
Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Kaleb Johnson?
No. Keep Ollie Gordon II: he projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Kaleb Johnson 42 (4.2 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Kaleb Johnson.