Start Ollie Gordon II or Alvin Kamara? Week 7

Updated Oct 21, 11:16 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Paris, set your lineup before then.

Latest

Oct 21, 6:13 PM ET: Alvin Kamara: Listed Questionable (Back) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Ollie Gordon II over Alvin Kamara

Start

Ollie Gordon II

RB · MIA · at NYJ

Market projects: 9.7; fantasy pts
NYJ D vs RB: 21.9; 14th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: High; 86 of 100 at RB

Sit

Alvin Kamara

RB · NO · vs PIT · Questionable

Market projects: 7.1; fantasy pts
PIT D vs RB: 20.4; 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Limited; 32 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 31%; Through Week 6
Target share: 12%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Ollie Gordon II?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Alvin Kamara 71 (7.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Alvin Kamara, 9.7 to 7.1 projected PPR points. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Ollie Gordon II over Alvin Kamara in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Ollie Gordon II at 9.7 points and Alvin Kamara at 7.1, a gap of 2.6.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 9.7 fantasy points for Ollie Gordon II, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Ollie Gordon II is 50 rushing yards, 8 receiving yards, 1-2 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (12, 11, 9 and 10 market sources).

Player markets imply 7.1 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Alvin Kamara is 17 rushing yards, 13 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.3 touchdowns (8, 12, 12 and 13 market sources).

That puts Ollie Gordon II 2.6 points ahead of Alvin Kamara on the market projections.

Week 7 matchups

Ollie Gordon II and MIA visit NYJ on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NYJ allowed 21.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 106 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against NYJ and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Alvin Kamara and NO host PIT on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

PIT allowed 20.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against PIT and caught passes for 35 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Ollie Gordon II has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Ollie Gordon II is not on the injury report.

Alvin Kamara is listed as questionable with a back injury.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Alvin Kamara played 31 percent of NO snaps, took 28 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Alvin Kamara, Week 5 against MIN: 12 of 45 snaps, 3 carries for 12 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for -6 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 6 against NYG: 19 of 72 snaps, 7 carries for 34 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ollie Gordon II played 17 games for MIA and scored 54.1 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB68.

He ran 70 times for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 22 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 18 of 2025 against NE: 9 carries for 9 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 2.1 PPR points.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 17 of 2025 against TB: 8 of 55 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Ollie Gordon II, Week 16 of 2025 against CIN: 3 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for -1 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, -0.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Alvin Kamara for Ollie Gordon II?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Ollie Gordon II projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Alvin Kamara 71 (7.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Alvin Kamara, 9.7 to 7.1 projected PPR points. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.
Should I drop Ollie Gordon II for Alvin Kamara?
No. Keep Ollie Gordon II: he projects 110 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (10.0 a game over 11 games), Alvin Kamara 71 (7.1 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Ollie Gordon II over Alvin Kamara, 9.7 to 7.1 projected PPR points. Alvin Kamara is listed questionable.