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Start Tyler Allgeier or Keaton Mitchell? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 1:26 PM ET.

Start

RB · ARI · at DAL

Market projects
9.2
recent weeks avg
DAL D vs RB
24.6
7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
83 of 100 at RB
Snap share
50%
Through Week 7
Target share
6%
Through Week 7
Sit

RB · LAC · at LAR

Market projects
7.8
recent weeks avg
LAR D vs RB
20.6
14th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
9 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 6
Target share
9%
Through Week 6

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Tyler Allgeier?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 9 games), Keaton Mitchell 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Keaton Mitchell.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Tyler Allgeier over Keaton Mitchell in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Tyler Allgeier at 9.2 points and Keaton Mitchell at 7.8, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 9.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (6.8, 11.9 and 9.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell this week yet, so his 7.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5 and 6 (8.6 and 7.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Tyler Allgeier at ADP 169 and Keaton Mitchell at 190.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 6.8, 11.9 and 9.0 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 9.2, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Keaton Mitchell yet. His market-based projections were 8.6 and 7.0 points in Weeks 5 and 6, an average of 7.8, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Tyler Allgeier 1.4 points ahead of Keaton Mitchell on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Tyler Allgeier and ARI visit DAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DAL allowed 24.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Keaton Mitchell and LAC visit LAR on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAR allowed 20.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0.3 touchdowns a game against LAR and caught passes for 45 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Allgeier has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Tyler Allgeier played 50 percent of ARI snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 4 against NYG: 36 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 7 against DEN: 38 of 81 snaps, 8 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards.

Through Week 6, Keaton Mitchell played 32 percent of LAC snaps, took 21 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 3 against BUF: 26 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 52 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for -5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 5 against DEN: 23 of 67 snaps, 6 carries for 11 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 18 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 6 against KC: 17 of 68 snaps, 2 carries for 4 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Keaton Mitchell for Tyler Allgeier?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 9 games), Keaton Mitchell 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Keaton Mitchell.

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Keaton Mitchell?

    No. Keep Tyler Allgeier: he projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 9 games), Keaton Mitchell 30 (3.0 a game over 10 games). For Week 8 the call starts Tyler Allgeier over Keaton Mitchell.

Should I drop Keaton Mitchell?Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board