Start Tetairoa McMillan or Michael Wilson? Week 7

Updated Oct 20, 2:41 PM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 8 answer posts Tuesday.

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Michael Wilson

Start

Tetairoa McMillan

WR · CAR · vs TB

Market projects: 15.3; recent weeks avg
TB D vs WR: 32.9; 14th most to WRs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 83 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 85%; Through Week 6
Target share: 26%; Through Week 6

Sit

Michael Wilson

WR · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects: 14.5; recent weeks avg
DEN D vs WR: 29.3; 7th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 43 of 100 at WR
Snap share: 90%; Through Week 6
Target share: 25%; Through Week 6

Should I drop Michael Wilson for Tetairoa McMillan?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 11 games), Michael Wilson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Michael Wilson.

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Our Week 7 call

Start Tetairoa McMillan over Michael Wilson in Week 7.

Market-based projections have Tetairoa McMillan at 15.3 points and Michael Wilson at 14.5, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tetairoa McMillan this week yet, so his 15.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (16.4 and 14.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Michael Wilson this week yet, so his 14.5 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4, 5 and 6 (13.4, 16.7 and 13.4); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Tetairoa McMillan at ADP 31 and Michael Wilson at 77.

What the market projects

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tetairoa McMillan yet. His market-based projections were 16.4 and 14.2 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 15.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 0-1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Michael Wilson yet. His market-based projections were 13.4, 16.7 and 13.4 points in Weeks 4, 5 and 6, an average of 14.5, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

That puts Tetairoa McMillan 0.8 points ahead of Michael Wilson on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 32.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 146 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against TB.

Michael Wilson and ARI host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 29.3 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 142 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against DEN.

By points allowed to the position, Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Michael Wilson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, Tetairoa McMillan played 85 percent of CAR snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 30 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 2 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 101 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 3 against CLE: 73 of 77 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 4 against DET: 67 of 75 snaps, 16 targets and 14 catches for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 6 against PHI: 60 of 79 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 86 yards.

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson played 90 percent of ARI snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 38 percent of the air yards and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Michael Wilson, Week 3 against SF: 81 of 87 snaps, 17 targets and 11 catches for 89 yards, 1 touchdown.

Michael Wilson, Week 4 against NYG: 62 of 66 snaps, 13 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 5 against DET: 61 of 73 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 30 yards.

Michael Wilson, Week 6 against LAR: 66 of 72 snaps, 7 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 7, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Michael Wilson for Tetairoa McMillan?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tetairoa McMillan projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 11 games), Michael Wilson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Michael Wilson.
Should I drop Tetairoa McMillan for Michael Wilson?
No. Keep Tetairoa McMillan: he projects 160 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (14.5 a game over 11 games), Michael Wilson 78 (7.8 a game over 10 games). For Week 7 the call starts Tetairoa McMillan over Michael Wilson.