Start A.J. Brown or Tetairoa McMillan? Week 7

Our Week 7 call

Start A.J. Brown over Tetairoa McMillan in Week 7.

Market-based projections have A.J. Brown at 15.3 points and Tetairoa McMillan at 15.3, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Tetairoa McMillan this week yet, so his 15.3 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 4 and 6 (16.4 and 14.2); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take A.J. Brown at ADP 17 and Tetairoa McMillan at 31.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for A.J. Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market-based projection for A.J. Brown is 69 receiving yards, 5-6 receptions and 0-1 touchdowns (12, 9 and 12 market sources).

No Week 7 player market is posted for Tetairoa McMillan yet. His market-based projections were 16.4 and 14.2 points in Weeks 4 and 6, an average of 15.3, which stands in until his Week 7 market posts.

The market-based projection for Tetairoa McMillan is 0-1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts A.J. Brown 0.1 points ahead of Tetairoa McMillan on these projections.

Week 7 matchups

A.J. Brown and NE visit CHI on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

CHI allowed 31.5 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 160 yards and a touchdown a game against CHI.

Tetairoa McMillan and CAR host TB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TB allowed 32.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th most in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 146 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against TB.

By points allowed to the position, Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.

Injury status

A.J. Brown is listed as questionable with a ankle injury.

Tetairoa McMillan is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 7

Through Week 6, A.J. Brown played 60 percent of NE snaps, drew 23 percent of the targets, earned 24 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

A.J. Brown, Week 1 against SEA: 31 of 71 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

A.J. Brown, Week 6 against NYJ: 52 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.

Through Week 6, Tetairoa McMillan played 85 percent of CAR snaps, drew 26 percent of the targets, earned 30 percent of the air yards and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 2 against ATL: 53 of 66 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 101 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 3 against CLE: 73 of 77 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 17 yards.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 4 against DET: 67 of 75 snaps, 16 targets and 14 catches for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan, Week 6 against PHI: 60 of 79 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 86 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, A.J. Brown played 15 games for PHI and scored 220.3 PPR points, 14.7 a game, finishing WR11.

He caught 78 of 121 targets for 1003 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 735 air yards.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

A.J. Brown, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 48 of 54 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 68 yards, 11.8 PPR points.

In 2025, Tetairoa McMillan played 17 games for CAR and scored 211.4 PPR points, 12.4 a game, finishing WR16.

He caught 70 of 122 targets for 1014 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 745 air yards.

He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 7 calls

• Start A.J. Brown over Carnell Tate.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over A.J. Brown.
• Start A.J. Brown over Chris Olave.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over Tetairoa McMillan.
• Start Chris Olave over Tetairoa McMillan.
• Start Tetairoa McMillan over Christian Watson.