Start Tyler Allgeier or Rico Dowdle? Week 8

Updated Oct 27, 8:26 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 9 answer posts Tuesday.

Latest

Oct 21, 5:43 PM ET: Rico Dowdle: Listed Questionable (Knee) (Sleeper injury feed)

Dowdle projects lower, 6.9 to 9.2, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 76 for Dowdle, 169 for Allgeier.

Start

Rico Dowdle

RB · PIT · vs CLE

Market projects: 6.9; recent weeks avg
CLE D vs RB: 19.4; 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside: Moderate; 60 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 38%; Through Week 7
Target share: 12%; Through Week 7

Sit

Tyler Allgeier

RB · ARI · at DAL

Market projects: 9.2; recent weeks avg
DAL D vs RB: 24.6; 7th most to RBs (2026)
Upside: Rising; 83 of 100 at RB
Snap share: 50%; Through Week 7
Target share: 6%; Through Week 7

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Tyler Allgeier?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 9 games), Rico Dowdle 32 (3.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyler Allgeier. So make the move after his Week 8 game.

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Our Week 8 call

Start Rico Dowdle over Tyler Allgeier in Week 8.

Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 6.9 points and Tyler Allgeier at 9.2, a gap of 2.4. Rico Dowdle still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player, ADP 76 against 169, and that outweighs a gap this size. No player market is posted for Rico Dowdle this week yet, so his 6.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (8.4, 5.6 and 6.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier this week yet, so his 9.2 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 5, 6 and 7 (6.8, 11.9 and 9.0); the call is rebuilt when his market posts.

What the market projects

No Week 8 player market is posted for Tyler Allgeier yet. His market-based projections were 6.8, 11.9 and 9.0 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 9.2, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

No Week 8 player market is posted for Rico Dowdle yet. His market-based projections were 8.4, 5.6 and 6.7 points in Weeks 5, 6 and 7, an average of 6.9, which stands in until his Week 8 market posts.

That puts Tyler Allgeier 2.4 points ahead of Rico Dowdle on these projections.

Week 8 matchups

Tyler Allgeier and ARI visit DAL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DAL allowed 24.6 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 7th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 107 yards and a touchdown a game against DAL and caught passes for 25 more yards.

Rico Dowdle and PIT host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 104 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against CLE and caught passes for 20 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Tyler Allgeier has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tyler Allgeier is not on the injury report.

Rico Dowdle is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 8

Through Week 7, Tyler Allgeier played 50 percent of ARI snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 4 against NYG: 36 of 66 snaps, 8 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 7 yards, 1 touchdown.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 5 against DET: 32 of 73 snaps, 3 carries for 7 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 6 against LAR: 40 of 72 snaps, 18 carries for 38 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for 10 yards.

Tyler Allgeier, Week 7 against DEN: 38 of 81 snaps, 8 carries for 19 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 30 yards.

Through Week 7, Rico Dowdle played 38 percent of PIT snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

Rico Dowdle, Week 1 against ATL: 39 of 67 snaps, 8 carries for 15 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 6 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.

Rico Dowdle, Week 7 against NO: 28 of 64 snaps, 9 carries for 41 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tyler Allgeier played 17 games for ATL and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He ran 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 yards.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.

He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.

He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 8 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 8, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Tyler Allgeier?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Tyler Allgeier projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 9 games), Rico Dowdle 32 (3.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyler Allgeier. So make the move after his Week 8 game.
Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Rico Dowdle?
No. Keep Tyler Allgeier: he projects 65 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (7.2 a game over 9 games), Rico Dowdle 32 (3.6 a game over 9 games). For Week 8 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Tyler Allgeier.

Should I drop Rico Dowdle?Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?