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Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Tetairoa McMillan? No, Jones is worth 17 more.

No on value. Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 76 rest of season and Tetairoa McMillan 59, so giving up Jones costs 17. Jones rates 15.3 market points a game with 11 games left, McMillan 14.6 with 11. On usage, Jones has 68 percent of MIN carries and 14 percent of its targets; McMillan has drawn 26 percent of CAR targets. Jones hosts IND in Week 7 (6th most points allowed to RBs); McMillan hosts TB in Week 7 (14th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Aaron Jones Sr. wins by 17.

Aaron Jones Sr. 7659 Tetairoa McMillan

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Aaron Jones Sr.

RB12MIN

76

value, #19

Pts/game
15.3
Games left
11
Bye
6
Aaron Jones Sr. weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
14.117.416.5no projection3.5

Tetairoa McMillan

WR10CAR

59

value, #28

Pts/game
14.6
Games left
11
Bye
5
Tetairoa McMillan weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
13.114.7no projection14.515.0

Where the values come from

Jones is the 12th running back on the chart and 19th overall. His 15.3 a game is 6.9 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 76.

McMillan is the 10th receiver on the chart and 28th overall. His 14.6 a game is 5.4 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 59.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4, 16.5 in Week 5 and 3.5 in Week 7, a median of 15.3 points a game, down 10.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Tetairoa McMillan at 13.1 in Week 3, 14.7 in Week 4, 14.5 in Week 6 and 15.0 in Week 7, a median of 14.6 points a game, up 1.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 70.2 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 1.3 a game less than the 15.3 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 46 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries, 81 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB7 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown, 87 percent of snaps.

Tetairoa McMillan has scored 89.1 PPR points in 5 games, 17.8 a game, 3.2 a game more than the 14.6 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR16 with 211.4 PPR points in 17 games, 12.4 a game.

Week 1 vs CHI: 10.5 points (WR32 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards, 82 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs ATL: 15.1 points (WR16 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CLE: 3.7 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DET: 45.2 points (WR1 that week), 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs PHI: 14.6 points (WR21 that week), 6 of 9 targets for 86 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 19.4 carries for 82 yards and 3.6 targets and 2.4 catches for 14 yards a game on 73 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 13 times inside the 20, 39 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against NO he had 25 carries and 3 targets on 87 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 9.6 targets and 6.4 catches for 94 yards a game on 85 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 14 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 6 against PHI he had 9 targets on 76 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 11 games in it with no bye left; Tetairoa McMillan has 11 games with no bye left.

IND, Jones's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 23.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most to RBs of 32.

TB, McMillan's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 32.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Tetairoa McMillan would want about 17 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 17. Two players for Jones also costs that side a roster spot.

Carnell Tate's player page

Other trades for Aaron Jones Sr. and Tetairoa McMillan

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Tetairoa McMillan?

    No on value: Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 76 and Tetairoa McMillan 59, a loss of 17. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Jones.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or Tetairoa McMillan?

    Aaron Jones Sr., 76 to 59. He rates 15.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 14.6 over 11 for Tetairoa McMillan, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:21 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number