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Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Zay Flowers? No, Jones is worth 21 more.

No on value. Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 76 rest of season and Zay Flowers 55, so giving up Jones costs 21. Jones rates 15.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Flowers 14.6 with 10. On usage, Jones has 68 percent of MIN carries and 14 percent of its targets; Flowers has drawn 31 percent of BAL targets. Jones hosts IND in Week 7 (6th most points allowed to RBs); Flowers hosts CIN in Week 7 (9th fewest points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Aaron Jones Sr. wins by 21.

Aaron Jones Sr. 7655 Zay Flowers

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Aaron Jones Sr.

RB13MIN

76

value, #20

Pts/game
15.3
Games left
11
Bye
6
Aaron Jones Sr. weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
14.117.416.5no projection4.0

Zay Flowers

WR13BAL

55

value, #31

Pts/game
14.6
Games left
10
Bye
13
Zay Flowers weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
16.115.114.62.62.5

Where the values come from

Jones is the 13th running back on the chart and 20th overall. His 15.3 a game is 6.9 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 76.

Flowers is the 13th receiver on the chart and 31st overall. His 14.6 a game is 5.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 55.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4, 16.5 in Week 5 and 4.1 in Week 7, a median of 15.3 points a game, down 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Zay Flowers at 16.1 in Week 3, 15.1 in Week 4, 14.6 in Week 5, 2.6 in Week 6 and 2.5 in Week 7, a median of 14.6 points a game, down 13.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 70.2 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 1.3 a game less than the 15.3 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.

Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 46 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries, 81 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB7 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown, 87 percent of snaps.

Zay Flowers has scored 94.5 PPR points in 5 games, 18.9 a game, 4.3 a game more than the 14.6 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR7 with 243.3 PPR points in 17 games, 14.3 a game.

Week 1 vs IND: 26.0 points (WR7 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 150 yards, 1 touchdown, 29 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DAL: 15.4 points (WR22 that week), 20 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 6 targets for 84 yards, 33 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TEN: 25.8 points (WR7 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards, 1 touchdown, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs ATL: 14.6 points (WR20 that week), 13 rushing yards on 1 carry, 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards, 82 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs CLE: 12.7 points (WR28 that week), 1 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 11 targets for 66 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 19.4 carries for 82 yards and 3.6 targets and 2.4 catches for 14 yards a game on 73 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 13 times inside the 20, 39 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against NO he had 25 carries and 3 targets on 87 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Zay Flowers has averaged 0.6 carries for 7 yards and 8.4 targets and 6.4 catches for 94 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 6 against CLE he had 1 carry and 11 targets on 88 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 11 games in it with no bye left; Zay Flowers has 10 games with his bye in Week 13.

IND, Jones's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 23.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th most to RBs of 32.

CIN, Flowers's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 29.5 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 9th fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Zay Flowers would want about 21 more added to make it even: a player like Michael Wilson, valued at 21. Two players for Jones also costs that side a roster spot.

Michael Wilson's player page

Other trades for Aaron Jones Sr. and Zay Flowers

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Zay Flowers?

    No on value: Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 76 and Zay Flowers 55, a loss of 21. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Jones.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or Zay Flowers?

    Aaron Jones Sr., 76 to 55. He rates 15.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 14.6 over 10 for Zay Flowers, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 9:36 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number