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Trade Caleb Williams for J.K. Dobbins? No, Williams is worth 9 more.

No on value. Caleb Williams is worth 16 rest of season and J.K. Dobbins 7, so giving up Williams costs 9. Williams rates 18.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Dobbins 9.1 with 10. On usage, Williams has thrown 30.3 passes and run 6.0 times a game; Dobbins has 57 percent of DEN carries and 5 percent of its targets. Williams hosts NE in Week 7 (6th fewest points allowed to QBs); Dobbins is at ARI in Week 7 (14th fewest points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Caleb Williams wins by 9.

Caleb Williams 167 J.K. Dobbins

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Caleb Williams

QB2CHI

16

value, #63

Pts/game
18.5
Games left
10
Bye
10
Caleb Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
no projectionno projectionno projection18.518.6

J.K. Dobbins

RB27DEN

7

value, #71

Pts/game
9.1
Games left
10
Bye
10
J.K. Dobbins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
4.110.59.39.18.9

Where the values come from

Williams is the 2nd quarterback on the chart and 63rd overall. His 18.5 a game is 1.6 above the replacement quarterback's 16.9, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 16.

Dobbins is the 27th running back on the chart and 71st overall. His 9.1 a game is 0.7 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 7.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Caleb Williams at 18.5 in Week 6 and 18.6 in Week 7, a median of 18.5 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had J.K. Dobbins at 4.1 in Week 3, 10.5 in Week 4, 9.3 in Week 5, 9.1 in Week 6 and 8.9 in Week 7, a median of 9.1 points a game, up 4.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Caleb Williams has scored 62.5 PPR points in 3 games, 20.8 a game, 2.3 a game more than the 18.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB5 with 325.2 PPR points in 17 games, 19.1 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 37.3 points (QB1 that week), 269 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 65 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 8.7 points (QB27 that week), 138 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 42 rushing yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs ATL: 16.5 points (QB15 that week), 305 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 3 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

J.K. Dobbins has scored 49.7 PPR points in 6 games, 8.3 a game, 0.8 a game less than the 9.1 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB43 with 115.9 PPR points in 10 games, 11.6 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 3.6 points (RB53 that week), 36 rushing yards on 8 carries, 43 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 3.6 points (RB51 that week), 36 rushing yards on 10 carries, 34 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 6.3 points (RB39 that week), 49 rushing yards on 17 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 7.2 points (RB38 that week), 40 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 32 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 15.4 points (RB16 that week), 68 rushing yards on 18 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 52 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs SEA: 13.6 points (RB16 that week), 41 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 52 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams has averaged 30.3 attempts, 237 passing yards and 1.0 touchdown passes a game, with 6.0 runs for 37 yards on 96 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against ATL he went 30 of 36 for 305 yards and 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, J.K. Dobbins has averaged 13-14 carries for 45 yards and 1-2 targets and 1.3 catches for 5 yards a game on 44 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 12 times inside the 20, 27 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against SEA he had 17 carries and 3 targets on 52 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Caleb Williams has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 10; J.K. Dobbins has 10 games with his bye in Week 10.

NE, Williams's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 14.6 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest to QBs of 32.

ARI, Dobbins's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 20.4 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting J.K. Dobbins would want about 9 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Williams also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for Caleb Williams and J.K. Dobbins

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Caleb Williams for J.K. Dobbins?

    No on value: Caleb Williams is worth 16 and J.K. Dobbins 7, a loss of 9. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Williams.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Caleb Williams or J.K. Dobbins?

    Caleb Williams, 16 to 7. He rates 18.5 market points a game over 10 games left, against 9.1 over 10 for J.K. Dobbins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number