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Trade J.K. Dobbins for Michael Wilson? Yes, Wilson is worth 10 more.

Yes on value. Michael Wilson is worth 17 rest of season and J.K. Dobbins 7, so the side getting Wilson gains 10. Dobbins rates 9.1 market points a game with 10 games left, Wilson 10.9 with 10. On usage, Dobbins has 57 percent of DEN carries and 5 percent of its targets; Wilson has drawn 25 percent of ARI targets. Dobbins is at ARI in Week 7 (14th fewest points allowed to RBs); Wilson hosts DEN in Week 7 (7th fewest points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Getting Michael Wilson wins by 10.

J.K. Dobbins 717 Michael Wilson

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J.K. Dobbins

RB27DEN

7

value, #71

Pts/game
9.1
Games left
10
Bye
10
J.K. Dobbins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
4.110.59.39.18.9

Michael Wilson

WR28ARI

17

value, #62

Pts/game
10.9
Games left
10
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
1.52.115.813.510.9

Where the values come from

Dobbins is the 27th running back on the chart and 71st overall. His 9.1 a game is 0.7 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 7.

Wilson is the 28th receiver on the chart and 62nd overall. His 10.9 a game is 1.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 17.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had J.K. Dobbins at 4.1 in Week 3, 10.5 in Week 4, 9.3 in Week 5, 9.1 in Week 6 and 8.9 in Week 7, a median of 9.1 points a game, up 4.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6 and 10.9 in Week 7, a median of 10.9 points a game, up 9.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

J.K. Dobbins has scored 49.7 PPR points in 6 games, 8.3 a game, 0.8 a game less than the 9.1 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB43 with 115.9 PPR points in 10 games, 11.6 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 3.6 points (RB53 that week), 36 rushing yards on 8 carries, 43 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 3.6 points (RB51 that week), 36 rushing yards on 10 carries, 34 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 6.3 points (RB39 that week), 49 rushing yards on 17 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 7.2 points (RB38 that week), 40 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 32 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 15.4 points (RB16 that week), 68 rushing yards on 18 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 52 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs SEA: 13.6 points (RB16 that week), 41 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 52 percent of snaps.

Michael Wilson has scored 71.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.9 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 10.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, J.K. Dobbins has averaged 13-14 carries for 45 yards and 1-2 targets and 1.3 catches for 5 yards a game on 44 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 12 times inside the 20, 27 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against SEA he had 17 carries and 3 targets on 52 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.7 targets and 5-6 catches for 53 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LAR he had 7 targets on 92 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. J.K. Dobbins has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Michael Wilson has 10 games with his bye in Week 14.

ARI, Dobbins's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 20.4 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest to RBs of 32.

DEN, Wilson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 29.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting J.K. Dobbins would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Wilson also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for J.K. Dobbins and Michael Wilson

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade J.K. Dobbins for Michael Wilson?

    Yes on value: Michael Wilson is worth 17 and J.K. Dobbins 7, a gain of 10. If J.K. Dobbins starts for you and Michael Wilson would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, J.K. Dobbins or Michael Wilson?

    Michael Wilson, 17 to 7. He rates 10.9 market points a game over 10 games left, against 9.1 over 10 for J.K. Dobbins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number