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Trade Caleb Williams for Ollie Gordon II? Close to even, 16 to 18.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Caleb Williams is 16 and Ollie Gordon II is 18, a 2 point edge to Gordon that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Williams rates 18.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Gordon 10.0 with 11. On usage, Williams has thrown 30.3 passes and run 6.0 times a game; Gordon has 36 percent of MIA carries and 4 percent of its targets. Williams hosts NE in Week 7 (6th fewest points allowed to QBs); Gordon is at NYJ in Week 7 (14th most points allowed to RBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Close to even.

Caleb Williams 1618 Ollie Gordon II

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Caleb Williams

QB2CHI

16

value, #63

Pts/game
18.5
Games left
10
Bye
10
Caleb Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
no projectionno projectionno projection18.518.6

Ollie Gordon II

RB25MIA

18

value, #61

Pts/game
10.0
Games left
11
Bye
6
Ollie Gordon II weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
no projectionno projection10.2no projection9.7

Where the values come from

Williams is the 2nd quarterback on the chart and 63rd overall. His 18.5 a game is 1.6 above the replacement quarterback's 16.9, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 16.

Gordon is the 25th running back on the chart and 61st overall. His 10.0 a game is 1.6 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 18.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Caleb Williams at 18.5 in Week 6 and 18.6 in Week 7, a median of 18.5 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Ollie Gordon II at 10.2 in Week 5 and 9.7 in Week 7, a median of 10.0 points a game, down 0.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Caleb Williams has scored 62.5 PPR points in 3 games, 20.8 a game, 2.3 a game more than the 18.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB5 with 325.2 PPR points in 17 games, 19.1 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 37.3 points (QB1 that week), 269 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 65 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 8.7 points (QB27 that week), 138 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 42 rushing yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs ATL: 16.5 points (QB15 that week), 305 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 3 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Ollie Gordon II has scored 48.0 PPR points in 4 games, 12.0 a game, 2.0 a game more than the 10.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB68 with 54.1 PPR points in 17 games, 3.2 a game.

Week 2 vs SF: 0.7 points (RB76 that week), 7 rushing yards on 3 carries, 19 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs KC: 14.5 points (RB13 that week), 41 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 14 yards, 1 touchdown, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs MIN: 18.0 points (RB16 that week), 100 rushing yards on 9 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CIN: 14.8 points (RB17 that week), 88 rushing yards on 18 carries, 1 touchdown, 65 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams has averaged 30.3 attempts, 237 passing yards and 1.0 touchdown passes a game, with 6.0 runs for 37 yards on 96 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against ATL he went 30 of 36 for 305 yards and 1 touchdown.

Through Week 5, Ollie Gordon II has averaged 9.4 carries for 47 yards and 1.0 targets and 1.0 catches for 3 yards a game on 48 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 15 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against CIN he had 18 carries and 0 targets on 65 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Caleb Williams has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Ollie Gordon II has 11 games with no bye left.

NE, Williams's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 14.6 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest to QBs of 32.

NYJ, Gordon's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 21.9 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th most to RBs of 32.

Other trades for Caleb Williams and Ollie Gordon II

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Caleb Williams for Ollie Gordon II?

    It is close to even: Caleb Williams is 16 and Ollie Gordon II is 18 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Caleb Williams or Ollie Gordon II?

    Ollie Gordon II, 18 to 16. He rates 10.0 market points a game over 11 games left, against 18.5 over 10 for Caleb Williams, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 11:56 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number