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Trade Caleb Williams for Saquon Barkley? No, Williams is worth 11 more.

No on value. Caleb Williams is worth 16 rest of season and Saquon Barkley 5, so giving up Williams costs 11. Williams rates 18.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Barkley 8.9 with 10. On usage, Williams has thrown 30.3 passes and run 6.0 times a game; Barkley has 36 percent of PHI carries and 7 percent of its targets. Williams hosts NE in Week 7 (6th fewest points allowed to QBs); Barkley hosts DAL in Week 7 (10th most points allowed to RBs). Saquon Barkley is listed Questionable (hamstring).

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Caleb Williams wins by 11.

Caleb Williams 165 Saquon Barkley

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16

value, #63

Pts/game
18.5
Games left
10
Bye
10
Caleb Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
no projectionno projectionno projection18.518.6

RB29PHIQuestionable

5

value, #76

Pts/game
8.9
Games left
10
Bye
10
Saquon Barkley weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
15.513.63.9no projection4.1

Where the values come from

Williams is the 2nd quarterback on the chart and 63rd overall. His 18.5 a game is 1.6 above the replacement quarterback's 16.9, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 16.

Barkley is the 29th running back on the chart and 76th overall. His 8.9 a game is 0.5 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 5.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Caleb Williams at 18.5 in Week 6 and 18.6 in Week 7, a median of 18.5 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Saquon Barkley at 15.5 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4, 3.9 in Week 5 and 4.1 in Week 7, a median of 8.9 points a game, down 11.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Caleb Williams has scored 62.5 PPR points in 3 games, 20.8 a game, 2.3 a game more than the 18.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB5 with 325.2 PPR points in 17 games, 19.1 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 37.3 points (QB1 that week), 269 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 65 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 8.7 points (QB27 that week), 138 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 42 rushing yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs ATL: 16.5 points (QB15 that week), 305 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 3 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Saquon Barkley has scored 23.0 PPR points in 4 games, 5.8 a game, 3.2 a game less than the 8.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB14 with 232.3 PPR points in 16 games, 14.5 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 9.0 points (RB30 that week), 83 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -3 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 3.0 points (RB58 that week), 9 rushing yards on 4 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 16 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 9.0 points (RB32 that week), 82 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -2 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LAR: 2.0 points (RB62 that week), 8 rushing yards on 2 carries, 1 of 1 target for 2 yards, 7 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Caleb Williams has averaged 30.3 attempts, 237 passing yards and 1.0 touchdown passes a game, with 6.0 runs for 37 yards on 96 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against ATL he went 30 of 36 for 305 yards and 1 touchdown.

Through Week 4, Saquon Barkley has averaged 9.0 carries for 46 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.0 catches for 2 yards a game on 38 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 14 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.

In Week 4 against LAR he had 2 carries and 1 target on 7 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Caleb Williams has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Saquon Barkley has 10 games with his bye in Week 10.

NE, Williams's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 14.6 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest to QBs of 32.

DAL, Barkley's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 23.2 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 10th most to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Saquon Barkley would want about 11 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Williams also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Caleb Williams for Saquon Barkley?

    No on value: Caleb Williams is worth 16 and Saquon Barkley 5, a loss of 11. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Williams.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Caleb Williams or Saquon Barkley?

    Caleb Williams, 16 to 5. He rates 18.5 market points a game over 10 games left, against 8.9 over 10 for Saquon Barkley, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number