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Trade Michael Wilson for Saquon Barkley? No, Wilson is worth 12 more.

No on value. Michael Wilson is worth 17 rest of season and Saquon Barkley 5, so giving up Wilson costs 12. Wilson rates 10.9 market points a game with 10 games left, Barkley 8.9 with 10. On usage, Wilson has drawn 25 percent of ARI targets; Barkley has 36 percent of PHI carries and 7 percent of its targets. Wilson hosts DEN in Week 7 (7th fewest points allowed to WRs); Barkley hosts DAL in Week 7 (10th most points allowed to RBs). Saquon Barkley is listed Questionable (hamstring).

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Michael Wilson wins by 12.

Michael Wilson 175 Saquon Barkley

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Michael Wilson

WR28ARI

17

value, #62

Pts/game
10.9
Games left
10
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
1.52.115.813.510.9

Saquon Barkley

RB29PHIQuestionable

5

value, #76

Pts/game
8.9
Games left
10
Bye
10
Saquon Barkley weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
15.513.63.9no projection4.1

Where the values come from

Wilson is the 28th receiver on the chart and 62nd overall. His 10.9 a game is 1.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 17.

Barkley is the 29th running back on the chart and 76th overall. His 8.9 a game is 0.5 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 5.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6 and 10.9 in Week 7, a median of 10.9 points a game, up 9.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Saquon Barkley at 15.5 in Week 3, 13.6 in Week 4, 3.9 in Week 5 and 4.1 in Week 7, a median of 8.9 points a game, down 11.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Michael Wilson has scored 71.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.9 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 10.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Saquon Barkley has scored 23.0 PPR points in 4 games, 5.8 a game, 3.2 a game less than the 8.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB14 with 232.3 PPR points in 16 games, 14.5 a game.

Week 1 vs WAS: 9.0 points (RB30 that week), 83 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -3 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs TEN: 3.0 points (RB58 that week), 9 rushing yards on 4 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 16 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CHI: 9.0 points (RB32 that week), 82 rushing yards on 15 carries, 1 of 2 targets for -2 yards, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LAR: 2.0 points (RB62 that week), 8 rushing yards on 2 carries, 1 of 1 target for 2 yards, 7 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.7 targets and 5-6 catches for 53 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LAR he had 7 targets on 92 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Saquon Barkley has averaged 9.0 carries for 46 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.0 catches for 2 yards a game on 38 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 5 times inside the 20, 14 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 4 games.

In Week 4 against LAR he had 2 carries and 1 target on 7 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Michael Wilson has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Saquon Barkley has 10 games with his bye in Week 10.

DEN, Wilson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 29.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to WRs of 32.

DAL, Barkley's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 23.2 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 10th most to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Saquon Barkley would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Devaughn Vele, valued at 12. Two players for Wilson also costs that side a roster spot.

Devaughn Vele's player page

Other trades for Michael Wilson and Saquon Barkley

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Michael Wilson for Saquon Barkley?

    No on value: Michael Wilson is worth 17 and Saquon Barkley 5, a loss of 12. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Wilson.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Michael Wilson or Saquon Barkley?

    Michael Wilson, 17 to 5. He rates 10.9 market points a game over 10 games left, against 8.9 over 10 for Saquon Barkley, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number