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Trade Chase Brown for Tetairoa McMillan? No, Brown is worth 16 more.

No on value. Chase Brown is worth 77 rest of season and Tetairoa McMillan 61, so giving up Brown costs 16. Brown rates 15.4 market points a game with 11 games left, McMillan 14.6 with 11. On usage, Brown has 65 percent of CIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; McMillan has drawn 26 percent of CAR targets. Brown is at BAL in Week 7 (6th fewest points allowed to RBs); McMillan hosts TB in Week 7 (14th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Chase Brown wins by 16.

Chase Brown 7761 Tetairoa McMillan

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Chase Brown

RB11CIN

77

value, #18

Pts/game
15.4
Games left
11
Bye
6
Chase Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
16.117.412.0no projection14.7

Tetairoa McMillan

WR10CAR

61

value, #28

Pts/game
14.6
Games left
11
Bye
5
Tetairoa McMillan weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
13.114.7no projection14.515.3

Where the values come from

Brown is the 11th running back on the chart and 18th overall. His 15.4 a game is 7.0 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 77.

McMillan is the 10th receiver on the chart and 28th overall. His 14.6 a game is 5.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 61.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Chase Brown at 16.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4, 12.0 in Week 5 and 14.7 in Week 7, a median of 15.4 points a game, down 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Tetairoa McMillan at 13.1 in Week 3, 14.7 in Week 4, 14.5 in Week 6 and 15.3 in Week 7, a median of 14.6 points a game, up 2.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Chase Brown has scored 65.0 PPR points in 5 games, 13.0 a game, 2.4 a game less than the 15.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB7 with 282.6 PPR points in 17 games, 16.6 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 18.8 points (RB14 that week), 56 rushing yards on 16 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 11.2 points (RB19 that week), 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 2 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 8.9 points (RB33 that week), 61 rushing yards on 13 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 19.1 points (RB13 that week), 10 rushing yards on 9 carries, 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 7.0 points (RB35 that week), 39 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards, 60 percent of snaps.

Tetairoa McMillan has scored 89.1 PPR points in 5 games, 17.8 a game, 3.2 a game more than the 14.6 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR16 with 211.4 PPR points in 17 games, 12.4 a game.

Week 1 vs CHI: 10.5 points (WR32 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards, 82 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs ATL: 15.1 points (WR16 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CLE: 3.7 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DET: 45.2 points (WR1 that week), 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs PHI: 14.6 points (WR21 that week), 6 of 9 targets for 86 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, Chase Brown has averaged 14.2 carries for 49 yards and 5.6 targets and 4.8 catches for 25 yards a game on 70 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 14 times inside the 20, 29 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 5 games.

In Week 5 against MIA he had 13 carries and 4 targets on 60 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 9.6 targets and 6.4 catches for 94 yards a game on 85 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 14 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 6 against PHI he had 9 targets on 76 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Chase Brown has 11 games in it with no bye left; Tetairoa McMillan has 11 games with no bye left.

BAL, Brown's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 18.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 6th fewest to RBs of 32.

TB, McMillan's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 32.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Tetairoa McMillan would want about 16 more added to make it even: a player like Caleb Williams, valued at 16. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.

Caleb Williams's player page

Other trades for Chase Brown and Tetairoa McMillan

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Chase Brown for Tetairoa McMillan?

    No on value: Chase Brown is worth 77 and Tetairoa McMillan 61, a loss of 16. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Brown.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Chase Brown or Tetairoa McMillan?

    Chase Brown, 77 to 61. He rates 15.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 14.6 over 11 for Tetairoa McMillan, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 21, 2026 at 8:16 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number