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Trade Javonte Williams for Tetairoa McMillan? No, Williams is worth 17 more.

No on value. Javonte Williams is worth 76 rest of season and Tetairoa McMillan 59, so giving up Williams costs 17. Williams rates 16.0 market points a game with 10 games left, McMillan 14.6 with 11. On usage, Williams has 70 percent of DAL carries and 9 percent of its targets; McMillan has drawn 26 percent of CAR targets. Williams is at PHI in Week 7 (16th fewest points allowed to RBs); McMillan hosts TB in Week 7 (14th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Javonte Williams wins by 17.

Javonte Williams 7659 Tetairoa McMillan

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76

value, #18

Pts/game
16.0
Games left
10
Bye
14
Javonte Williams weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
15.714.617.317.516.0

59

value, #28

Pts/game
14.6
Games left
11
Bye
5
Tetairoa McMillan weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
13.114.7no projection14.515.0

Where the values come from

Williams is the 11th running back on the chart and 18th overall. His 16.0 a game is 7.6 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 76.

McMillan is the 10th receiver on the chart and 28th overall. His 14.6 a game is 5.4 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 59.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Javonte Williams at 15.7 in Week 3, 14.6 in Week 4, 17.3 in Week 5, 17.5 in Week 6 and 16.0 in Week 7, a median of 16.0 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Tetairoa McMillan at 13.1 in Week 3, 14.7 in Week 4, 14.5 in Week 6 and 15.0 in Week 7, a median of 14.6 points a game, up 1.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Javonte Williams has scored 109.0 PPR points in 6 games, 18.2 a game, 2.2 a game more than the 16.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB12 with 242.8 PPR points in 16 games, 15.2 a game.

Week 1 vs NYG: 24.2 points (RB9 that week), 41 rushing yards on 12 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 31 yards, 2 touchdowns, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs WAS: 8.0 points (RB34 that week), 30 rushing yards on 12 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 20 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs BAL: 18.3 points (RB10 that week), 98 rushing yards on 19 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs HOU: 31.3 points (RB2 that week), 62 rushing yards on 19 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 21 yards, 3 touchdowns, 74 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB18 that week), 45 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs GB: 13.0 points (RB17 that week), 41 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards, 1 touchdown, 73 percent of snaps.

Tetairoa McMillan has scored 89.1 PPR points in 5 games, 17.8 a game, 3.2 a game more than the 14.6 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR16 with 211.4 PPR points in 17 games, 12.4 a game.

Week 1 vs CHI: 10.5 points (WR32 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards, 82 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs ATL: 15.1 points (WR16 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CLE: 3.7 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DET: 45.2 points (WR1 that week), 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs PHI: 14.6 points (WR21 that week), 6 of 9 targets for 86 yards, 76 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Javonte Williams has averaged 14.2 carries for 53 yards and 3.7 targets and 3.2 catches for 17 yards a game on 76 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 27 times inside the 20, 40 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 8 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against GB he had 11 carries and 2 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 9.6 targets and 6.4 catches for 94 yards a game on 85 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 14 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 6 against PHI he had 9 targets on 76 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Javonte Williams has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Tetairoa McMillan has 11 games with no bye left.

PHI, Williams's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 20.5 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest to RBs of 32.

TB, McMillan's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 32.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 14th most to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Tetairoa McMillan would want about 17 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 17. Two players for Williams also costs that side a roster spot.

Carnell Tate's player page

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Javonte Williams for Tetairoa McMillan?

    No on value: Javonte Williams is worth 76 and Tetairoa McMillan 59, a loss of 17. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Williams.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Javonte Williams or Tetairoa McMillan?

    Javonte Williams, 76 to 59. He rates 16.0 market points a game over 10 games left, against 14.6 over 11 for Tetairoa McMillan, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number