Trade Chase Brown for Trey McBride? No, Brown is worth 10 more.
No on value. Chase Brown is worth 71 rest of season and Trey McBride 61, so giving up Brown costs 10. Brown rates 16.0 market points a game with 9 games left, McBride 17.0 with 8. On usage, Brown has 63 percent of CIN carries and 16 percent of its targets; McBride has drawn 27 percent of ARI targets. Brown is at ATL in Week 9 (8th most points allowed to RBs); McBride is at SEA in Week 9 (3rd fewest points allowed to TEs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 9
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- Pts/game
- 16.0
- Games left
- 9
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 | Wk 6 | Wk 7 | Wk 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.1 | 17.4 | 12.0 | no projection | 14.7 | 16.0 |
- Pts/game
- 17.0
- Games left
- 8
- Bye
- 14
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 | Wk 6 | Wk 7 | Wk 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.3 | 17.1 | 19.3 | 16.6 | 16.9 | 18.9 |
Where the values come from
Brown is the 7th running back on the chart and 13th overall. His 16.0 a game is 7.9 above the replacement running back's 8.1, over 9 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 71.
McBride is the 1st tight end on the chart and 21st overall. His 17.0 a game is 7.6 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 8 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 61.
The weekly projections
Parlae's market-based projections had Chase Brown at 16.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4, 12.0 in Week 5, 14.7 in Week 7 and 16.0 in Week 8, a median of 16.0 points a game, flat across them.
Parlae's market-based projections had Trey McBride at 16.3 in Week 3, 17.1 in Week 4, 19.3 in Week 5, 16.6 in Week 6, 16.9 in Week 7 and 18.9 in Week 8, a median of 17.0 points a game, up 2.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.
Points so far against the price
Chase Brown has scored 90.9 PPR points in 7 games, 13.0 a game, 3.0 a game less than the 16.0 he is projected for from here.
Last season he finished RB7 with 282.6 PPR points in 17 games, 16.6 a game.
Week 1 vs TB: 18.8 points (RB14 that week), 56 rushing yards on 16 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs HOU: 11.2 points (RB19 that week), 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 2 yards, 70 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs PIT: 8.9 points (RB33 that week), 61 rushing yards on 13 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 70 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs JAX: 19.1 points (RB13 that week), 10 rushing yards on 9 carries, 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards, 79 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs MIA: 7.0 points (RB35 that week), 39 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards, 60 percent of snaps.
Week 7 vs BAL: 9.8 points (RB31 that week), 39 rushing yards on 11 carries, 4 of 5 targets for 19 yards, 75 percent of snaps.
Week 8 vs TEN: 16.1 points (RB14 that week), 55 rushing yards on 12 carries, 8 of 9 targets for 46 yards.
Trey McBride has scored 150.4 PPR points in 8 games, 18.8 a game, 1.8 a game more than the 17.0 he is projected for from here.
Last season he finished TE1 with 315.9 PPR points in 17 games, 18.6 a game.
Week 1 vs LAC: 24.5 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs SEA: 18.1 points (TE6 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 88 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs SF: 16.5 points (TE8 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 75 yards, 91 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs NYG: 10.1 points (TE19 that week), 7 of 12 targets for 31 yards, 97 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs DET: 21.6 points (TE3 that week), 9 of 10 targets for 66 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.
Week 6 vs LAR: 12.3 points (TE13 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 53 yards, 97 percent of snaps.
Week 7 vs DEN: 27.1 points (TE1 that week), 10 of 13 targets for 111 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.
Week 8 vs DAL: 20.2 points (TE3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 72 yards, 1 touchdown.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 8, Chase Brown has averaged 13.4 carries for 49 yards and 6.0 targets and 5.1 catches for 27 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 16 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 7 games.
In Week 8 against TEN he had 12 carries and 9 targets.
Through Week 8, Trey McBride has averaged 10.8 targets and 8.3 catches for 68 yards a game on 91 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 19 times inside the 20, 18 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 8 games.
In Week 8 against DAL he had 8 targets.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 9 through Week 17. Chase Brown has 9 games in it with no bye left; Trey McBride has 8 games with his bye in Week 14.
ATL, Brown's Week 9 opponent, has allowed 24.6 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th most to RBs of 32.
SEA, McBride's Week 9 opponent, has allowed 10.0 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 7 games, the 3rd fewest to TEs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Trey McBride would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Denzel Boston, valued at 10. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Chase Brown and Trey McBride
Chase Brown for Kenneth Walker71 vs 101
Chase Brown for Puka Nacua71 vs 96
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Chase Brown95 vs 71
Chase Brown for Ja'Marr Chase71 vs 87
Chase Brown for Jaxon Smith-Njigba71 vs 85
Ja'Marr Chase for Trey McBride87 vs 61- Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Trey McBride85 vs 61
Jonathan Taylor for Trey McBride82 vs 61
CeeDee Lamb for Trey McBride74 vs 61
James Cook III for Trey McBride73 vs 61
The full Week 9 trade value chart
Week 8 on the board
- Is Chase Brown playing Week 8?
- Is Trey McBride playing Week 8?
- Bengals depth chart
- Cardinals depth chart
- Week 8 RB rankings
- Week 8 TE rankings
- Week 8 fantasy rankings
- Week 8 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 8
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 8 kicker rankings
- Week 8 defense rankings
Common questions
Should I trade Chase Brown for Trey McBride?
No on value: Chase Brown is worth 71 and Trey McBride 61, a loss of 10. It can still help a lineup that needs a tight end more than it needs Brown.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Chase Brown or Trey McBride?
Chase Brown, 71 to 61. He rates 16.0 market points a game over 9 games left, against 17.0 over 8 for Trey McBride, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 9 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number