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Trade David Montgomery for Isaiah Likely? No, Montgomery is worth 10 more.

No on value. David Montgomery is worth 21 rest of season and Isaiah Likely 11, so giving up Montgomery costs 10. Montgomery rates 10.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Likely 10.5 with 10. On usage, Montgomery has 45 percent of HOU carries and 4 percent of its targets; Likely has drawn 29 percent of NYG targets. Montgomery hosts NYG in Week 7 (15th most points allowed to RBs); Likely is at HOU in Week 7 (11th fewest points allowed to TEs). David Montgomery is listed Questionable (groin).

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping David Montgomery wins by 10.

David Montgomery 2111 Isaiah Likely

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RB24HOUQuestionable

21

value, #57

Pts/game
10.5
Games left
10
Bye
8
David Montgomery weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
11.112.010.52.85.5

11

value, #70

Pts/game
10.5
Games left
10
Bye
8
Isaiah Likely weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
9.29.410.513.012.3

Where the values come from

Montgomery is the 24th running back on the chart and 57th overall. His 10.5 a game is 2.1 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 21.

Likely is the 9th tight end on the chart and 70th overall. His 10.5 a game is 1.1 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 11.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had David Montgomery at 11.1 in Week 3, 12.0 in Week 4, 10.5 in Week 5, 2.8 in Week 6 and 5.5 in Week 7, a median of 10.5 points a game, down 5.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Isaiah Likely at 9.2 in Week 3, 9.5 in Week 4, 10.5 in Week 5, 13.0 in Week 6 and 12.3 in Week 7, a median of 10.5 points a game, up 3.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

David Montgomery has scored 45.5 PPR points in 5 games, 9.1 a game, 1.4 a game less than the 10.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB27 with 166.9 PPR points in 17 games with DET, 9.8 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 28.9 points (RB7 that week), 60 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CIN: 4.4 points (RB48 that week), 10 rushing yards on 6 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 14 yards, 53 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs IND: 6.8 points (RB36 that week), 33 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards, 63 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 4.3 points (RB49 that week), 24 rushing yards on 10 carries, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 1.1 points (RB68 that week), 11 rushing yards on 5 carries, 14 percent of snaps.

Isaiah Likely has scored 109.3 PPR points in 6 games, 18.2 a game, 7.7 a game more than the 10.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE45 with 61.7 PPR points in 14 games with BAL, 4.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DAL: 27.8 points (TE1 that week), 8 of 8 targets for 78 yards, 2 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs LAR: 8.3 points (TE19 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 33 yards, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TEN: 3.3 points (TE42 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs ARI: 13.6 points (TE9 that week), 7 of 12 targets for 66 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs WAS: 32.4 points (TE1 that week), 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NO: 23.9 points (TE1 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 99 yards, 1 touchdown, 91 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, David Montgomery has averaged 10.4 carries for 28 yards and 1.4 targets and 1.4 catches for 10 yards a game on 46 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 28 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against TEN he had 5 carries and 0 targets on 14 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Isaiah Likely has averaged 9.8 targets and 6-7 catches for 64 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 9 times inside the 20, 19 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against NO he had 11 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. David Montgomery has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Isaiah Likely has 10 games with his bye in Week 8.

NYG, Montgomery's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 21.6 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 15th most to RBs of 32.

HOU, Likely's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 10.6 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 11th fewest to TEs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Isaiah Likely would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Montgomery also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade David Montgomery for Isaiah Likely?

    No on value: David Montgomery is worth 21 and Isaiah Likely 11, a loss of 10. It can still help a lineup that needs a tight end more than it needs Montgomery.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, David Montgomery or Isaiah Likely?

    David Montgomery, 21 to 11. He rates 10.5 market points a game over 10 games left, against 10.5 over 10 for Isaiah Likely, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 3:41 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number