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Trade Isaiah Likely for Luther Burden III? Yes, Burden is worth 12 more.

Yes on value. Luther Burden III is worth 23 rest of season and Isaiah Likely 11, so the side getting Burden gains 12. Likely rates 10.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Burden 11.5 with 10. On usage, Likely has drawn 29 percent of NYG targets; Burden has drawn 22 percent of CHI targets. Likely is at HOU in Week 7 (11th fewest points allowed to TEs); Burden hosts NE in Week 7 (16th fewest points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 7

Getting Luther Burden III wins by 12.

Isaiah Likely 1123 Luther Burden III

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Isaiah Likely

TE9NYG

11

value, #70

Pts/game
10.5
Games left
10
Bye
8
Isaiah Likely weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
9.29.410.513.012.3

Luther Burden III

WR25CHI

23

value, #54

Pts/game
11.5
Games left
10
Bye
10
Luther Burden III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
4.811.311.511.912.7

Where the values come from

Likely is the 9th tight end on the chart and 70th overall. His 10.5 a game is 1.1 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 11.

Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 54th overall. His 11.5 a game is 2.3 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 23.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Isaiah Likely at 9.2 in Week 3, 9.5 in Week 4, 10.5 in Week 5, 13.0 in Week 6 and 12.3 in Week 7, a median of 10.5 points a game, up 3.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4, 11.5 in Week 5, 11.9 in Week 6 and 12.7 in Week 7, a median of 11.5 points a game, up 7.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Isaiah Likely has scored 109.3 PPR points in 6 games, 18.2 a game, 7.7 a game more than the 10.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE45 with 61.7 PPR points in 14 games with BAL, 4.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DAL: 27.8 points (TE1 that week), 8 of 8 targets for 78 yards, 2 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs LAR: 8.3 points (TE19 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 33 yards, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TEN: 3.3 points (TE42 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs ARI: 13.6 points (TE9 that week), 7 of 12 targets for 66 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs WAS: 32.4 points (TE1 that week), 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NO: 23.9 points (TE1 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 99 yards, 1 touchdown, 91 percent of snaps.

Luther Burden III has scored 73.3 PPR points in 6 games, 12.2 a game, 0.7 a game more than the 11.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR41 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs ATL: 17.5 points (WR14 that week), 8 of 8 targets for 95 yards, 39 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Isaiah Likely has averaged 9.8 targets and 6-7 catches for 64 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 9 times inside the 20, 19 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against NO he had 11 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Luther Burden III has averaged 1.2 carries for 4 yards and 7.2 targets and 5.2 catches for 60 yards a game on 60 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 11 times inside the 20, 12 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against ATL he had 8 targets on 39 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Isaiah Likely has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Luther Burden III has 10 games with his bye in Week 10.

HOU, Likely's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 10.6 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 11th fewest to TEs of 32.

NE, Burden's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 31.7 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 16th fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Isaiah Likely would want about 12 more added to make it even: a player like Devaughn Vele, valued at 12. Two players for Burden also costs that side a roster spot.

Devaughn Vele's player page

Other trades for Isaiah Likely and Luther Burden III

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Isaiah Likely for Luther Burden III?

    Yes on value: Luther Burden III is worth 23 and Isaiah Likely 11, a gain of 12. If Isaiah Likely starts for you and Luther Burden III would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Isaiah Likely or Luther Burden III?

    Luther Burden III, 23 to 11. He rates 11.5 market points a game over 10 games left, against 10.5 over 10 for Isaiah Likely, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 4:16 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number