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Trade DJ Moore for Isaiah Likely? Close to even, 18 to 11.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value DJ Moore is 18 and Isaiah Likely is 11, a 7 point edge to Moore that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Moore rates 11.0 market points a game with 10 games left, Likely 10.5 with 10. On usage, Moore has drawn 18 percent of BUF targets; Likely has drawn 29 percent of NYG targets. Moore is on bye in Week 7; Likely is at HOU in Week 7 (11th fewest points allowed to TEs). DJ Moore is listed Out (shoulder - ac joint).

The verdict, Week 7

Close to even.

DJ Moore 1811 Isaiah Likely

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WR26BUFOut

18

value, #59

Pts/game
11.0
Games left
10
Bye
7
DJ Moore weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
11.111.42.510.9no projection

11

value, #70

Pts/game
10.5
Games left
10
Bye
8
Isaiah Likely weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
9.29.410.513.012.3

Where the values come from

Moore is the 26th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.0 a game is 1.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 18.

Likely is the 9th tight end on the chart and 70th overall. His 10.5 a game is 1.1 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 11.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had DJ Moore at 11.1 in Week 3, 11.4 in Week 4, 2.5 in Week 5 and 10.9 in Week 6, a median of 11.0 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Isaiah Likely at 9.2 in Week 3, 9.5 in Week 4, 10.5 in Week 5, 13.0 in Week 6 and 12.3 in Week 7, a median of 10.5 points a game, up 3.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

DJ Moore has scored 36.3 PPR points in 4 games, 9.1 a game, 1.9 a game less than the 11.0 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR35 with 170.2 PPR points in 17 games with CHI, 10.0 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 21.0 points (WR9 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 100 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: -0.1 points (WR119 that week), -1 rushing yards on 1 carry, 0 of 0 targets for 0 yards, 31 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 12.7 points (WR31 that week), 6 of 10 targets for 67 yards, 64 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 2.7 points (WR87 that week), 6 rushing yards on 1 carry, 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards, 39 percent of snaps.

Isaiah Likely has scored 109.3 PPR points in 6 games, 18.2 a game, 7.7 a game more than the 10.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE45 with 61.7 PPR points in 14 games with BAL, 4.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DAL: 27.8 points (TE1 that week), 8 of 8 targets for 78 yards, 2 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs LAR: 8.3 points (TE19 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 33 yards, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs TEN: 3.3 points (TE42 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs ARI: 13.6 points (TE9 that week), 7 of 12 targets for 66 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs WAS: 32.4 points (TE1 that week), 11 of 13 targets for 94 yards, 2 touchdowns, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs NO: 23.9 points (TE1 that week), 6 of 11 targets for 99 yards, 1 touchdown, 91 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, DJ Moore has averaged 0-1 carries for 1 yard and 5.0 targets and 3.0 catches for 45 yards a game on 51 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NE he had 1 carry and 2 targets on 39 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Isaiah Likely has averaged 9.8 targets and 6-7 catches for 64 yards a game on 74 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 9 times inside the 20, 19 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 5 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against NO he had 11 targets on 91 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. DJ Moore has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 7; Isaiah Likely has 10 games with his bye in Week 8.

HOU, Likely's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 10.6 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 11th fewest to TEs of 32.

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade DJ Moore for Isaiah Likely?

    It is close to even: DJ Moore is 18 and Isaiah Likely is 11 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, DJ Moore or Isaiah Likely?

    DJ Moore, 18 to 11. He rates 11.0 market points a game over 10 games left, against 10.5 over 10 for Isaiah Likely, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number