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Trade David Montgomery for J.K. Dobbins? No, Montgomery is worth 14 more.

No on value. David Montgomery is worth 21 rest of season and J.K. Dobbins 7, so giving up Montgomery costs 14. Montgomery rates 10.5 market points a game with 10 games left, Dobbins 9.1 with 10. On usage, Montgomery has 45 percent of HOU carries and 4 percent of its targets; Dobbins has 57 percent of DEN carries and 5 percent of its targets. Montgomery hosts NYG in Week 7 (15th most points allowed to RBs); Dobbins is at ARI in Week 7 (14th fewest points allowed to RBs). David Montgomery is listed Questionable (groin).

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping David Montgomery wins by 14.

David Montgomery 217 J.K. Dobbins

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RB24HOUQuestionable

21

value, #57

Pts/game
10.5
Games left
10
Bye
8
David Montgomery weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
11.112.010.52.85.5

7

value, #71

Pts/game
9.1
Games left
10
Bye
10
J.K. Dobbins weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
4.110.59.39.18.9

Where the values come from

Montgomery is the 24th running back on the chart and 57th overall. His 10.5 a game is 2.1 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 21.

Dobbins is the 27th running back on the chart and 71st overall. His 9.1 a game is 0.7 above the replacement running back's 8.4, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 7.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had David Montgomery at 11.1 in Week 3, 12.0 in Week 4, 10.5 in Week 5, 2.8 in Week 6 and 5.5 in Week 7, a median of 10.5 points a game, down 5.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had J.K. Dobbins at 4.1 in Week 3, 10.5 in Week 4, 9.3 in Week 5, 9.1 in Week 6 and 8.9 in Week 7, a median of 9.1 points a game, up 4.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

David Montgomery has scored 45.5 PPR points in 5 games, 9.1 a game, 1.4 a game less than the 10.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB27 with 166.9 PPR points in 17 games with DET, 9.8 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 28.9 points (RB7 that week), 60 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs CIN: 4.4 points (RB48 that week), 10 rushing yards on 6 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 14 yards, 53 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs IND: 6.8 points (RB36 that week), 33 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards, 63 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 4.3 points (RB49 that week), 24 rushing yards on 10 carries, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 1.1 points (RB68 that week), 11 rushing yards on 5 carries, 14 percent of snaps.

J.K. Dobbins has scored 49.7 PPR points in 6 games, 8.3 a game, 0.8 a game less than the 9.1 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished RB43 with 115.9 PPR points in 10 games, 11.6 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 3.6 points (RB53 that week), 36 rushing yards on 8 carries, 43 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 3.6 points (RB51 that week), 36 rushing yards on 10 carries, 34 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 6.3 points (RB39 that week), 49 rushing yards on 17 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards, 49 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 7.2 points (RB38 that week), 40 rushing yards on 11 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 12 yards, 32 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 15.4 points (RB16 that week), 68 rushing yards on 18 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 52 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs SEA: 13.6 points (RB16 that week), 41 rushing yards on 17 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 52 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 5, David Montgomery has averaged 10.4 carries for 28 yards and 1.4 targets and 1.4 catches for 10 yards a game on 46 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 28 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 5 against TEN he had 5 carries and 0 targets on 14 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, J.K. Dobbins has averaged 13-14 carries for 45 yards and 1-2 targets and 1.3 catches for 5 yards a game on 44 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 12 times inside the 20, 27 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 6 games.

In Week 6 against SEA he had 17 carries and 3 targets on 52 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. David Montgomery has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 8; J.K. Dobbins has 10 games with his bye in Week 10.

NYG, Montgomery's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 21.6 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 15th most to RBs of 32.

ARI, Dobbins's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 20.4 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 6 games, the 14th fewest to RBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting J.K. Dobbins would want about 14 more added to make it even: a player like Tony Pollard, valued at 15. Two players for Montgomery also costs that side a roster spot.

Tony Pollard's player page

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade David Montgomery for J.K. Dobbins?

    No on value: David Montgomery is worth 21 and J.K. Dobbins 7, a loss of 14. It can still help a lineup that needs a running back more than it needs Montgomery.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, David Montgomery or J.K. Dobbins?

    David Montgomery, 21 to 7. He rates 10.5 market points a game over 10 games left, against 9.1 over 10 for J.K. Dobbins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number