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Trade Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Josh Allen? No, Smith-Njigba is worth 29 more.

No on value. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is worth 97 rest of season and Josh Allen 68, so giving up Smith-Njigba costs 29. Smith-Njigba rates 19.9 market points a game with 9 games left, Allen 23.5 with 10. On usage, Smith-Njigba has drawn 36 percent of SEA targets; Allen has thrown 28.5 passes and run 6.7 times a game. Smith-Njigba hosts CHI in Week 8 (10th fewest points allowed to WRs); Allen hosts BAL in Week 8 (16th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 8

Keeping Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins by 29.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba 9768 Josh Allen

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97

value, #7

Pts/game
19.9
Games left
9
Bye
11
Jaxon Smith-Njigba weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
19.820.120.019.919.321.7

68

value, #21

Pts/game
23.5
Games left
10
Bye
7
Josh Allen weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8
23.522.822.823.7no projection24.5

Where the values come from

Smith-Njigba is the 3rd receiver on the chart and 7th overall. His 19.9 a game is 10.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 9 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 97.

Allen is the 1st quarterback on the chart and 21st overall. His 23.5 a game is 6.8 above the replacement quarterback's 16.7, over 10 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 68.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 19.8 in Week 3, 20.1 in Week 4, 20.0 in Week 5, 19.9 in Week 6, 19.3 in Week 7 and 21.7 in Week 8, a median of 19.9 points a game, up 1.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Allen at 23.5 in Week 3, 22.8 in Week 4, 22.8 in Week 5, 23.7 in Week 6 and 24.5 in Week 8, a median of 23.5 points a game, up 1.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has scored 196.2 PPR points in 7 games, 28.0 a game, 8.1 a game more than the 19.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR2 with 359.9 PPR points in 17 games, 21.2 a game.

Week 1 vs NE: 26.2 points (WR6 that week), 8 of 11 targets for 122 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs ARI: 42.5 points (WR1 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 155 yards, 3 touchdowns, 67 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs WAS: 35.4 points (WR1 that week), 10 of 14 targets for 128 yards, 2 touchdowns, 87 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LAC: 12.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 76 yards, 88 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs SF: 22.8 points (WR8 that week), 16 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 8 targets for 102 yards, 1 touchdown, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs DEN: 25.4 points (WR4 that week), 12 of 16 targets for 134 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Week 7 vs KC: 31.3 points (WR1 that week), 13 rushing yards on 2 carries, 9 of 12 targets for 150 yards, 1 touchdown, 77 percent of snaps.

Josh Allen has scored 165.3 PPR points in 6 games, 27.5 a game, 4.0 a game more than the 23.5 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished QB1 with 374.6 PPR points in 17 games, 22.0 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 35.7 points (QB2 that week), 334 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 40.8 points (QB1 that week), 248 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 69 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 19.5 points (QB17 that week), 204 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 22 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 19.5 points (QB10 that week), 253 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 4 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAR: 31.5 points (QB3 that week), 210 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 121 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LV: 18.3 points (QB10 that week), 255 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 1 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 7, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has averaged 11.1 targets and 8.3 catches for 124 yards a game on 83 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 12 times inside the 20, 19 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 8 touchdowns in 7 games.

In Week 7 against KC he had 2 carries and 12 targets on 77 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Josh Allen has averaged 28-29 attempts, 251 passing yards and 1.5 touchdown passes a game, with 6.7 runs for 41 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 6 against LV he went 23 of 33 for 255 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 8 through Week 17. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 9 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Josh Allen has 10 games with no bye left.

CHI, Smith-Njigba's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 29.2 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 7 games, the 10th fewest to WRs of 32.

BAL, Allen's Week 8 opponent, has allowed 17.3 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 16th most to QBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Josh Allen would want about 29 more added to make it even: a player like Rhamondre Stevenson, valued at 30. Two players for Smith-Njigba also costs that side a roster spot.

Rhamondre Stevenson's player page

The full Week 8 trade value chart

Week 8 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Josh Allen?

    No on value: Jaxon Smith-Njigba is worth 97 and Josh Allen 68, a loss of 29. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Smith-Njigba.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Josh Allen?

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 97 to 68. He rates 19.9 market points a game over 9 games left, against 23.5 over 10 for Josh Allen, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 8 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 29, 2026 at 10:21 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number