Trade Ja'Marr Chase for Josh Allen? No, Chase is worth 20 more.
No on value. Ja'Marr Chase is worth 89 rest of season and Josh Allen 69, so giving up Chase costs 20. Chase rates 17.2 market points a game with 11 games left, Allen 22.8 with 11. On usage, Chase has drawn 18 percent of CIN targets; Allen has thrown 29.8 passes and run 7.0 times a game. Chase is on bye in Week 6; Allen is at LV in Week 6 (15th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Ja'Marr Chase wins by 20.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 17.2
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 17.2 | 19.0 | 4.1 |
- Pts/game
- 22.8
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 7
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5 | 22.8 | 22.8 |
Where the values come from
Chase is the 6th receiver on the chart and 17th overall. His 17.2 a game is 8.1 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 89.
Allen is the 1st quarterback on the chart and 27th overall. His 22.8 a game is 6.3 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 69.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Ja'Marr Chase at 17.2 in Week 3, 19.0 in Week 4 and 4.1 in Week 5, a median of 17.2 points a game, down 13.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Josh Allen at 23.5 in Week 3, 22.8 in Week 4 and 22.8 in Week 5, a median of 22.8 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Ja'Marr Chase has scored 79.9 PPR points in 5 games, 16.0 a game, 1.2 a game less than the 17.2 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR4 with 313.6 PPR points in 16 games, 19.6 a game.
Week 1 vs TB: 3.2 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 12 yards, 94 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs HOU: 26.5 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 75 yards, 2 touchdowns, 88 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs PIT: 24.8 points (WR5 that week), 9 of 12 targets for 98 yards, 1 touchdown, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs JAX: 5.7 points (WR69 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 27 yards, 20 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs MIA: 19.7 points (WR10 that week), 6 of 10 targets for 77 yards, 1 touchdown.
Josh Allen has scored 115.5 PPR points in 4 games, 28.9 a game, 6.1 a game more than the 22.8 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished QB1 with 374.6 PPR points in 17 games, 22.0 a game.
Week 1 vs HOU: 35.7 points (QB2 that week), 334 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs DET: 40.8 points (QB1 that week), 248 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 69 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs LAC: 19.5 points (QB17 that week), 204 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 22 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs NE: 19.5 points (QB10 that week), 253 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 4 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Ja'Marr Chase has averaged 7.0 targets and 5.3 catches for 53 yards a game on 72 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against JAX he had 3 targets on 20 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Josh Allen has averaged 29.8 attempts, 260 passing yards and 1.5 touchdown passes a game, with 7.0 runs for 31 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.
In Week 4 against NE he went 23 of 33 for 253 yards and 1 touchdown.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Ja'Marr Chase has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Josh Allen has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.
LV, Allen's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.4 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 15th most to QBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Josh Allen would want about 20 more added to make it even: a player like Tyler Shough, valued at 19. Two players for Chase also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Ja'Marr Chase and Josh Allen
Ja'Marr Chase for Jaxon Smith-Njigba89 vs 120
Ja'Marr Chase for Jonathan Taylor89 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Ja'Marr Chase119 vs 89
Derrick Henry for Ja'Marr Chase115 vs 89
Christian McCaffrey for Ja'Marr Chase114 vs 89
Chuba Hubbard for Josh Allen96 vs 69
Aaron Jones Sr. for Josh Allen95 vs 69
Ashton Jeanty for Josh Allen95 vs 69
Chase Brown for Josh Allen90 vs 69
Chris Olave for Josh Allen90 vs 69
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Ja'Marr Chase for Josh Allen?
No on value: Ja'Marr Chase is worth 89 and Josh Allen 69, a loss of 20. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Chase.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Ja'Marr Chase or Josh Allen?
Ja'Marr Chase, 89 to 69. He rates 17.2 market points a game over 11 games left, against 22.8 over 11 for Josh Allen, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number