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Trade Jaylen Waddle for Michael Wilson? No, Waddle is worth 13 more.

No on value. Jaylen Waddle is worth 30 rest of season and Michael Wilson 17, so giving up Waddle costs 13. Waddle rates 12.2 market points a game with 10 games left, Wilson 10.9 with 10. On usage, Waddle has drawn 22 percent of DEN targets; Wilson has drawn 25 percent of ARI targets. Waddle is at ARI in Week 7 (10th most points allowed to WRs); Wilson hosts DEN in Week 7 (7th fewest points allowed to WRs). Jaylen Waddle is listed Questionable (chest).

The verdict, Week 7

Keeping Jaylen Waddle wins by 13.

Jaylen Waddle 3017 Michael Wilson

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Jaylen Waddle

WR21DENQuestionable

30

value, #47

Pts/game
12.2
Games left
10
Bye
10
Jaylen Waddle weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
12.512.412.210.812.2

Michael Wilson

WR28ARI

17

value, #62

Pts/game
10.9
Games left
10
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
1.52.115.813.510.9

Where the values come from

Waddle is the 21st receiver on the chart and 47th overall. His 12.2 a game is 3.0 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 30.

Wilson is the 28th receiver on the chart and 62nd overall. His 10.9 a game is 1.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 17.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Jaylen Waddle at 12.5 in Week 3, 12.4 in Week 4, 12.2 in Week 5, 10.8 in Week 6 and 12.2 in Week 7, a median of 12.2 points a game, flat across them.

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6 and 10.9 in Week 7, a median of 10.9 points a game, up 9.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Jaylen Waddle has scored 55.1 PPR points in 6 games, 9.2 a game, 3.0 a game less than the 12.2 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR24 with 194.1 PPR points in 16 games with MIA, 12.1 a game.

Week 1 vs KC: 1.2 points (WR102 that week), 1 of 3 targets for 2 yards, 75 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs JAX: 21.8 points (WR9 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 138 yards, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAR: 6.4 points (WR65 that week), 14 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 7 targets for 10 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs SF: 14.5 points (WR25 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 35 yards, 1 touchdown, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs LAC: 4.8 points (WR66 that week), 9 rushing yards on 1 carry, 2 of 5 targets for 19 yards, 65 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs SEA: 6.4 points (WR56 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 24 yards, 65 percent of snaps.

Michael Wilson has scored 71.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.9 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 10.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Jaylen Waddle has averaged 6.3 targets and 3.7 catches for 38 yards a game on 68 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 7 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against SEA he had 7 targets on 65 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.7 targets and 5-6 catches for 53 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LAR he had 7 targets on 92 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Jaylen Waddle has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Michael Wilson has 10 games with his bye in Week 14.

ARI, Waddle's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 34.9 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 10th most to WRs of 32.

DEN, Wilson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 29.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Michael Wilson would want about 13 more added to make it even: a player like Denzel Boston, valued at 13. Two players for Waddle also costs that side a roster spot.

Denzel Boston's player page

Other trades for Jaylen Waddle and Michael Wilson

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Jaylen Waddle for Michael Wilson?

    No on value: Jaylen Waddle is worth 30 and Michael Wilson 17, a loss of 13. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Waddle.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Jaylen Waddle or Michael Wilson?

    Jaylen Waddle, 30 to 17. He rates 12.2 market points a game over 10 games left, against 10.9 over 10 for Michael Wilson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number