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Trade Josh Downs for Rashee Rice? Yes, Rice is worth 10 more.

Yes on value. Rashee Rice is worth 35 rest of season and Josh Downs 25, so the side getting Rice gains 10. Downs rates 11.7 market points a game with 10 games left, Rice 12.4 with 11. On usage, Downs has drawn 21 percent of IND targets; Rice has drawn 14 percent of KC targets. Downs is at MIN in Week 7 (5th fewest points allowed to WRs); Rice is at SEA in Week 7 (2nd fewest points allowed to WRs). Rashee Rice is listed Questionable (hamstring).

The verdict, Week 7

Getting Rashee Rice wins by 10.

Josh Downs 2535 Rashee Rice

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Josh Downs

WR23IND

25

value, #52

Pts/game
11.7
Games left
10
Bye
13
Josh Downs weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
11.414.212.511.71.3

Rashee Rice

WR19KCQuestionable

35

value, #43

Pts/game
12.4
Games left
11
Bye
5
Rashee Rice weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
12.412.9no projectionno projection2.3

Where the values come from

Downs is the 23rd receiver on the chart and 52nd overall. His 11.7 a game is 2.5 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 25.

Rice is the 19th receiver on the chart and 43rd overall. His 12.4 a game is 3.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 35.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Josh Downs at 11.4 in Week 3, 14.2 in Week 4, 12.5 in Week 5, 11.7 in Week 6 and 1.3 in Week 7, a median of 11.7 points a game, down 10.0 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Rashee Rice at 12.4 in Week 3, 13.0 in Week 4 and 2.3 in Week 7, a median of 12.4 points a game, down 10.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Josh Downs has scored 53.6 PPR points in 6 games, 8.9 a game, 2.8 a game less than the 11.7 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR44 with 136.4 PPR points in 16 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 5.7 points (WR65 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 37 yards, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.2 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 72 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 12.7 points (WR30 that week), 5 of 11 targets for 77 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 4.6 points (WR77 that week), 3 of 4 targets for 16 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 7.7 points (WR43 that week), 3 of 6 targets for 47 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs TEN: 8.7 points (WR41 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 8 targets for 40 yards, 86 percent of snaps.

Rashee Rice has scored 38.0 PPR points in 3 games, 12.7 a game, level with the 12.4 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR40 with 150.1 PPR points in 8 games, 18.8 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 9.9 points (WR36 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 12.3 points (WR27 that week), 4 of 6 targets for 83 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 15.8 points (WR20 that week), 7 of 9 targets for 88 yards, 77 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Josh Downs has averaged 7.0 targets and 4.0 catches for 48 yards a game on 81 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has not scored in 6 games.

In Week 6 against TEN he had 1 carry and 8 targets on 86 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Rashee Rice has averaged 4.3 targets and 3.3 catches for 48 yards a game on 64 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 9 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against LV he had 0 targets on 10 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Josh Downs has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 13; Rashee Rice has 11 games with no bye left.

MIN, Downs's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 27.1 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 5 games, the 5th fewest to WRs of 32.

SEA, Rice's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 22.7 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 2nd fewest to WRs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Josh Downs would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Dak Prescott, valued at 11. Two players for Rice also costs that side a roster spot.

Dak Prescott's player page

Other trades for Josh Downs and Rashee Rice

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Josh Downs for Rashee Rice?

    Yes on value: Rashee Rice is worth 35 and Josh Downs 25, a gain of 10. If Josh Downs starts for you and Rashee Rice would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Josh Downs or Rashee Rice?

    Rashee Rice, 35 to 25. He rates 12.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 11.7 over 10 for Josh Downs, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:11 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number