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Trade Michael Wilson for Travis Kelce? Yes, Kelce is worth 15 more.

Yes on value. Travis Kelce is worth 32 rest of season and Michael Wilson 17, so the side getting Kelce gains 15. Wilson rates 10.9 market points a game with 10 games left, Kelce 12.3 with 11. On usage, Wilson has drawn 25 percent of ARI targets; Kelce has drawn 18 percent of KC targets. Wilson hosts DEN in Week 7 (7th fewest points allowed to WRs); Kelce is at SEA in Week 7 (3rd fewest points allowed to TEs). Travis Kelce is listed Questionable (ankle).

The verdict, Week 7

Getting Travis Kelce wins by 15.

Michael Wilson 1732 Travis Kelce

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Michael Wilson

WR28ARI

17

value, #62

Pts/game
10.9
Games left
10
Bye
14
Michael Wilson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
1.52.115.813.510.9

Travis Kelce

TE4KCQuestionable

32

value, #46

Pts/game
12.3
Games left
11
Bye
5
Travis Kelce weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7
12.611.9no projection12.710.8

Where the values come from

Wilson is the 28th receiver on the chart and 62nd overall. His 10.9 a game is 1.7 above the replacement receiver's 9.2, over 10 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 17.

Kelce is the 4th tight end on the chart and 46th overall. His 12.3 a game is 2.9 above the replacement tight end's 9.4, over 11 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 32.

The weekly projections

Parlae's market-based projections had Michael Wilson at 1.5 in Week 3, 2.2 in Week 4, 15.8 in Week 5, 13.5 in Week 6 and 10.9 in Week 7, a median of 10.9 points a game, up 9.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Parlae's market-based projections had Travis Kelce at 12.6 in Week 3, 11.9 in Week 4, 12.7 in Week 6 and 10.8 in Week 7, a median of 12.3 points a game, down 1.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Michael Wilson has scored 71.3 PPR points in 6 games, 11.9 a game, 1.0 a game more than the 10.9 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished WR10 with 220.6 PPR points in 17 games, 13.0 a game.

Week 1 vs LAC: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs SEA: 3.8 points (WR81 that week), 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs SF: 25.9 points (WR4 that week), 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYG: 16.5 points (WR17 that week), 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs DET: 7.3 points (WR50 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 30 yards, 84 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAR: 7.2 points (WR49 that week), 4 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 92 percent of snaps.

Travis Kelce has scored 61.9 PPR points in 5 games, 12.4 a game, level with the 12.3 he is projected for from here.

Last season he finished TE3 with 193.2 PPR points in 17 games, 11.4 a game.

Week 1 vs DEN: 10.1 points (TE16 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 71 yards, 71 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs IND: 25.1 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 101 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs MIA: 13.9 points (TE11 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 59 yards, 1 touchdown, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs LV: 3.5 points (TE32 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 15 yards, 83 percent of snaps.

Week 6 vs LAC: 9.3 points (TE18 that week), 4 of 5 targets for 53 yards, 66 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 6, Michael Wilson has averaged 9.7 targets and 5-6 catches for 53 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 13 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 6 games.

In Week 6 against LAR he had 7 targets on 92 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 6, Travis Kelce has averaged 5.4 targets and 4.0 catches for 60 yards a game on 77 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 5 games.

In Week 6 against LAC he had 5 targets on 66 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 7 through Week 17. Michael Wilson has 10 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Travis Kelce has 11 games with no bye left.

DEN, Wilson's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 29.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 6 games, the 7th fewest to WRs of 32.

SEA, Kelce's Week 7 opponent, has allowed 9.1 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 6 games, the 3rd fewest to TEs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Michael Wilson would want about 15 more added to make it even: a player like Tony Pollard, valued at 15. Two players for Kelce also costs that side a roster spot.

Tony Pollard's player page

Other trades for Michael Wilson and Travis Kelce

The full Week 7 trade value chart

Week 7 on the board

Common questions

  • Should I trade Michael Wilson for Travis Kelce?

    Yes on value: Travis Kelce is worth 32 and Michael Wilson 17, a gain of 15. If Michael Wilson starts for you and Travis Kelce would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Michael Wilson or Travis Kelce?

    Travis Kelce, 32 to 17. He rates 12.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 10.9 over 10 for Michael Wilson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 7 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 22, 2026 at 2:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number