Should I trade Nico Collins for Zay Flowers?

It is close to even: Nico Collins is 73 and Zay Flowers is 66 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

Who has more rest-of-season value, Nico Collins or Zay Flowers?

Nico Collins, 73 to 66. He rates 15.7 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.1 over 11 for Zay Flowers, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

How are these trade values calculated?

Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

Trade Nico Collins for Zay Flowers? Close to even, 73 to 66.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Nico Collins is 73 and Zay Flowers is 66, a 7 point edge to Collins that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Collins rates 15.7 market points a game with 11 games left, Flowers 15.1 with 11. On usage, Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets; Flowers has drawn 30 percent of BAL targets. Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs); Flowers is at CLE in Week 6 (8th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Nico Collins 7366 Zay Flowers

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Nico Collins

WR9HOU

value, #25

Pts/game: 15.7
Games left: 11
Bye: 8

Nico Collins weekly market-based points
Wk 3	Wk 4	Wk 5
2.8	15.7	16.7

Zay Flowers

WR10BAL

value, #28

Pts/game: 15.1
Games left: 11
Bye: 13

Zay Flowers weekly market-based points
Wk 3	Wk 4	Wk 5
16.1	15.1	14.6

Where the values come from

Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.

Flowers is the 10th receiver on the chart and 28th overall. His 15.1 a game is 6.0 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 66.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Zay Flowers at 16.1 in Week 3, 15.1 in Week 4 and 14.6 in Week 5, a median of 15.1 points a game, down 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Points so far against the price

Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.

Zay Flowers has scored 81.8 PPR points in 4 games, 20.5 a game, 5.4 a game more than the 15.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR7 with 243.3 PPR points in 17 games, 14.3 a game.

Week 1 vs IND: 26.0 points (WR7 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 150 yards, 1 touchdown, 29 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs DAL: 15.4 points (WR22 that week), 20 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 6 targets for 84 yards, 33 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TEN: 25.8 points (WR7 that week), 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards, 1 touchdown, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs ATL: 14.6 points (WR18 that week), 13 rushing yards on 1 carry, 8 of 9 targets for 53 yards.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.

In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Zay Flowers has averaged 7.3 targets and 6.0 catches for 117 yards a game on 45 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 4 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 3 games.

In Week 4 against TEN he had 10 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Nico Collins has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 8; Zay Flowers has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.

JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.

CLE, Flowers's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 8th most to WRs of 32.

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

Should I trade Nico Collins for Zay Flowers?
It is close to even: Nico Collins is 73 and Zay Flowers is 66 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Nico Collins or Zay Flowers?
Nico Collins, 73 to 66. He rates 15.7 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.1 over 11 for Zay Flowers, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is built Report a wrong number