Week 4 upside potential
Who has room to break out this week, and exactly why: the role, the defense, the game total, the player market lines, injuries around him and how many leagues are talking about him.
Upside by position
#1Josh DownsHigh100WR · IND at WAS · Sun 9:30 AM
- Usage31% target share in Week 3, up from 22%
- MatchupFaces the Commanders, the most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
- Game totalColts implied for 25.5 points, tied for the 7th highest of Week 4
#2Chris OlaveHigh99WR · NO vs ATL · Mon 8:15 PM
- Usage33% target share in Week 3, up from 27%
- MatchupFaces the Falcons, the 4th most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
- Market85.5 receiving yards line, 2nd highest at WR
#3Ja'Marr ChaseHigh98WR · CIN vs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage32% target share in Week 3, up from 20%
- Game totalBengals implied for 27.0 points, tied for the 3rd highest of Week 4
- MarketMarket prices a touchdown at -118
#4Michael WilsonHigh97WR · ARI at NYG · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage34% target share in Week 3, up from 22%
- MatchupFaces the Giants, the 7th most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
- Market56.5 receiving yards line
#5Nico CollinsHigh96WR · HOU vs DAL · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage27% target share in Week 1
- Game totalTexans implied for 25.8 points, tied for the 6th highest of Week 4
- Market72.5 receiving yards line, 10th highest at WR
#6Devaughn VeleHigh95WR · NO vs ATL · Mon 8:15 PM
- MatchupFaces the Falcons, the 4th most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
#7Jordan AddisonHigh94WR · MIN vs MIA · Sun 4:05 PM
- Usage36% target share in Week 3, up from 17%
- MarketMarket prices a touchdown at +129
#8Garrett WilsonHigh94WR · NYJ at CHI · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage36% target share in Week 3, up from 24%
- InjuriesMitchell and Taylor listed Out, 9 targets a game freed
- Market75.5 receiving yards line, 7th highest at WR
#9Mack HollinsHigh93WR · NE at BUF · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage30% target share in Week 3, up from 14%
- MatchupFaces the Bills, the 12th most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
#10Zay FlowersHigh92WR · BAL vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM
- MatchupFaces the Titans, the 9th most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
- Game totalRavens implied for 27.0 points, tied for the 3rd highest of Week 4
- MarketMarket prices a touchdown at +140
#11Puka NacuaHigh91WR · LAR at PHI · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage33% target share in Week 1
- Market73.5 receiving yards line, 9th highest at WR
#12Tetairoa McMillanHigh90WR · CAR vs DET · Sun 8:20 PM
- MatchupFaces the Lions, the 2nd most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
- MarketMarket prices a touchdown at +130
#13DJ MooreHigh89WR · BUF vs NE · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage39% target share in Week 3, up from 14%
- Game totalBills implied for 28.3 points, the highest of Week 4
- MarketMarket prices a touchdown at +155
#14Brycen TremayneHigh88WR · CAR vs DET · Sun 8:20 PM
- MatchupFaces the Lions, the 2nd most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
- ChatterPicked up in 246,000 Sleeper leagues in 24 hours
#15Dontayvion WicksHigh87WR · PHI vs LAR · Sun 1:00 PM
- InjuriesSmith and Goedert listed Out, 13 targets a game freed
- ChatterPicked up in 88,000 Sleeper leagues in 24 hours
- Market56.5 receiving yards line
#16Davante AdamsHigh85WR · LAR at PHI · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage27% target share in Week 3
- MarketMarket prices a touchdown at +125
#17George PickensRising84WR · DAL at HOU · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage28% target share in Week 3
- MatchupFaces the Texans, the 11th most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
- Market68.5 receiving yards line
#18Tee HigginsRising83WR · CIN vs JAX · Sun 1:00 PM
- Game totalBengals implied for 27.0 points, tied for the 3rd highest of Week 4
- MarketMarket prices a touchdown at +135
#19Ryan FlournoyRising83WR · DAL at HOU · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage20% target share in Week 3
- MatchupFaces the Texans, the 11th most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
#20Jakobi MeyersRising82WR · JAX at CIN · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage30% target share in Week 3, up from 6%
- ChatterPicked up in 58,000 Sleeper leagues in 24 hours
#21Xavier HutchinsonRising81WR · HOU vs DAL · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage24% target share in Week 3, up from 17%
- Game totalTexans implied for 25.8 points, tied for the 6th highest of Week 4
#22Jaxon Smith-NjigbaRising80WR · SEA vs LAC · Sun 4:25 PM
- Usage31% target share in Week 3
- Game totalSeahawks implied for 24.8 points, the 9th highest of Week 4
- Market93.5 receiving yards line, the highest at WR
#23Rashee RiceRising79WR · KC at LV · Sun 4:25 PM
- Usage39% target share in Week 3, up from 12%
- Game totalChiefs implied for 26.0 points, the 5th highest of Week 4
- MarketMarket prices a touchdown at +146
#24CeeDee LambRising78WR · DAL at HOU · Sun 1:00 PM
- MatchupFaces the Texans, the 11th most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
- Market76.5 receiving yards line, 6th highest at WR
#25Stefon DiggsRising78WR · WAS vs IND · Sun 9:30 AM
- MatchupFaces the Colts, the 5th most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
- Market56.5 receiving yards line
#26Matthew GoldenRising77WR · GB at TB · Sun 1:00 PM
- Usage24% target share in Week 3
- Market56.5 receiving yards line
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#29Rashod BatemanRising73WR · BAL vs TEN · Sun 1:00 PM
- MatchupFaces the Titans, the 9th most WR points allowed per game (2025 and 2026 blended)
- Game totalRavens implied for 27.0 points, tied for the 3rd highest of Week 4
#30Drake LondonRising72WR · ATL at NO · Mon 8:15 PM
- Usage44% target share in Week 3, up from 18%
- Market78.5 receiving yards line, 4th highest at WR
How upside is rated
Upside is a 0 to 100 score against the other players at the same position this week, blended from usage, the opponent's points allowed, the market's team total and player lines, work freed by injured teammates, and Sleeper, Yahoo and news activity. High is the top 15% of the position, Rising the next 20%, Moderate the next 25%. It is a read of the inputs, not a projection.
A player listed Out, Doubtful or on injured reserve is not rated, and a Questionable listing lowers a rating. A player with too small a role to read is left off rather than guessed at. Defense figures blend in 2025 until the 2026 sample is big enough to stand alone. Ratings refresh through Sunday morning and hold at each game's kickoff.
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By the Parlae deskUpside ratings updated Oct 4, 2026 at 12:15 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number
checked 3 days ago