Should I start Baker Mayfield or Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 8?
Updated Nov 3, 12:11 AM ET. Week 9 answers post Tuesday.
Start Baker Mayfield: 95 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Aaron Jones Sr.'s 25 percent of the snaps and 30 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Baker Mayfield?
Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games) and Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
QB9 · TB · bye 10
2026 vs pass yds line 1-4
- Market-based projection
- 16.0 pts a game Wk 8 price
- Overall rank
- 14
RB40 · MIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 5-2
- Market-based projection
- 7.4 pts a game Wk 8 price
- Overall rank
- 129
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The gap
- Board size297 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Baker Mayfield, and the board ranks him 14th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 20.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 129th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
No season market is posted for Baker Mayfield, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.
The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 3.1 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
This season through Week 8
Through Week 8, Baker Mayfield has been on the field for 96 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 134 times and thrown 8.4 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 134 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.
In Week 3 against MIN he completed 17 of 34 passes for 217 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.
In Week 7 against CAR he completed 7 of 11 passes for 64 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 1 yards.
In Week 8 against ATL he completed 0 of 3 passes for 0 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 15 yards.
Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 25 percent of MIN snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.
He has taken 0 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.
His 3 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.
In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.
In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Baker Mayfield played 17 games and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.
He threw for 3693 yards on 543 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.
That came to 31.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.
He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.
That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.
He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Baker Mayfield was available for 5 games more.
Side by side
In 2025 Baker Mayfield scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Aaron Jones Sr. 9.9, 6.8 a game between them.
Baker Mayfield finished QB12 and Aaron Jones Sr. RB41, which are two different ladders.
Baker Mayfield is a quarterback and Aaron Jones Sr. a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.
Byes and availability
Baker Mayfield is off in Week 10 and Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 6, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Baker Mayfield?
Not on these numbers alone. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 127 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (14.1 a game over 9 games) and Baker Mayfield 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.
Should I drop Baker Mayfield for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Baker Mayfield projects 129 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.1 a game over 8 games) and Aaron Jones Sr. 127 (14.1 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?
Both players in full
Week 8 on the board
- Is Baker Mayfield playing Week 8?
- Is Aaron Jones Sr. playing Week 8?
- Buccaneers depth chart
- Vikings depth chart
- Week 8 QB rankings
- Week 8 RB rankings
- Week 8 fantasy rankings
- Week 8 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 8
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 8 kicker rankings
- Week 8 defense rankings
