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Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Darren Waller in Week 7?

Updated Oct 22, 1:41 AM ET.

Start Aaron Jones Sr.: 80 percent of the snaps and 74 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Darren Waller's 50 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Darren Waller for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Darren Waller 73 (6.6 a game over 11 games).

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB42 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-0

Overall rank
131

TE22 · CAR · bye 5

2026 vs anytime td line 1-4

Market-based projection
6.2 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size316 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 131st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Darren Waller, and the board ranks him 132nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 3.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 13 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Darren Waller's market-based projection is 6.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 118th highest figure of the 215 players with a market-based projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 73 percent of MIN snaps, taken 68 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 39 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 1 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against TB he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against MIA he carried 20 times for 94 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 25 times for 113 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Darren Waller has been on the field for 46 percent of CAR snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 8.8 air yards.

In Week 3 against CLE he caught 5 of 8 targets for 51 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DET he caught 3 of 6 targets for 36 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against PHI he caught 0 of 2 targets for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Darren Waller played 9 games and scored 88.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing TE33.

He caught 24 of 34 targets for 283 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 7 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 71 percent catch rate and 11.8 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 45 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr. was available for 3 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 they scored the same 9.9 PPR points a game.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished RB41 and Darren Waller TE33, which are two different ladders.

Aaron Jones Sr. is a running back and Darren Waller a tight end, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Aaron Jones Sr. is off in Week 6 and Darren Waller in Week 5, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Aaron Jones Sr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Darren Waller for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Darren Waller 73 (6.6 a game over 11 games).

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Darren Waller?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Darren Waller 73 (6.6 a game over 11 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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