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Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Jaylin Noel in Week 7?

Updated Oct 22, 11:51 AM ET.

Start Aaron Jones Sr.: 80 percent of the snaps and 74 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Jaylin Noel's 52 percent of the snaps and 13 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Jaylin Noel for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Jaylin Noel 56 (5.6 a game over 10 games).

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB39 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-0

Overall rank
123

WR41 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 2-4

Market-based projection
6.6 pts a game

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The gap

  • Board size317 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 123rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Jaylin Noel, and the board ranks him 124th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 3.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 13 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Jaylin Noel's market-based projection is 6.6 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 113th highest figure of the 216 players with a market-based projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 73 percent of MIN snaps, taken 68 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 39 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 1 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against TB he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against MIA he carried 20 times for 94 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 25 times for 113 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Jaylin Noel has been on the field for 46 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 6 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 46 third down targets, had 0 of its 10 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 35 two minute targets.

His 21 targets have averaged 11.0 air yards.

In Week 4 against DAL he carried 1 time for 4 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 85 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against TEN he carried 1 time for 1 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 4 of 4 targets for 107 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jaylin Noel played 17 games and scored 68.4 PPR points, 4.0 a game, finishing WR91.

He caught 26 of 35 targets for 292 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 5 red zone targets.

That came to 2.1 targets a game, a 74 percent catch rate and 11.2 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 27 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jaylin Noel was available for 5 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Jaylin Noel 4.0, 5.9 a game between them.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished RB41 and Jaylin Noel WR91, which are two different ladders.

Aaron Jones Sr. is a running back and Jaylin Noel a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Aaron Jones Sr. is off in Week 6 and Jaylin Noel in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Aaron Jones Sr. has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Jaylin Noel for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Jaylin Noel 56 (5.6 a game over 10 games).

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaylin Noel?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 168 market-implied PPR points from Week 7 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 11 games), Jaylin Noel 56 (5.6 a game over 10 games).

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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