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Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Kenny Gainwell in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 6:21 AM ET.

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  • : Kenny Gainwell: Listed Questionable (Hip) (Sleeper injury feed)

Week 9 verdict

Start

RB · MIN · vs BUF

Market projects
8.3
fantasy pts
BUF D vs RB
26.5
3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · TB · at CHI

Market projects
6.0
recent weeks avg
CHI D vs RB
17.8
3rd fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
46 of 100 at RB
Snap share
37%
Through Week 8
Target share
9%
Through Week 8
Start Jones or Gainwell? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Kenny Gainwell in Week 9. Jones faces BUF, which allows the 3rd most fantasy points to RBs.

Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Kenny Gainwell 49 (6.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Kenny Gainwell.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB21 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-2

Overall rank
57

RB51 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 3-5

Market-based projection
5.5 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
152

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 57th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kenny Gainwell, and the board ranks him 152nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.4 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 8 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Kenny Gainwell is 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 9 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 32 percent of MIN snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Kenny Gainwell has been on the field for 37 percent of TB snaps, taken 22 percent of the carries, drawn 9 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 60 third down targets, had 0 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 5 of its 44 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have come 2.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against PIT he carried 2 times for 17 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 7 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CAR he carried 14 times for 88 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against ATL he carried 25 times for 140 yards, caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kenny Gainwell played 17 games and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He carried 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 more yards.

That came to 6.7 carries a game at 4.7 yards a carry and 4.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Kenny Gainwell was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Kenny Gainwell scored 13.1 PPR points a game and Aaron Jones Sr. 9.9, 3.2 a game between them.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished RB41 that year and Kenny Gainwell RB16.

Aaron Jones Sr. had 18 more carries than Kenny Gainwell, 132 to 114.

Kenny Gainwell had 45 more catches than Aaron Jones Sr., 73 to 28.

This season Kenny Gainwell holds the bigger snap share, 37 percent against 32 percent.

This season Aaron Jones Sr. holds the bigger share of the carries, 30 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Aaron Jones Sr. is off in Week 6 and Kenny Gainwell in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Kenny Gainwell for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Kenny Gainwell 49 (6.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Kenny Gainwell.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Kenny Gainwell?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Kenny Gainwell 49 (6.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Kenny Gainwell.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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