Start Rico Dowdle or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 10
Updated Nov 10, 11:56 AM ET. Locks at kickoff, graded after. Week 11 answer posts Tuesday.
Start Rico Dowdle over Aaron Jones Sr.
- Market projects
- 9.8
- fantasy pts
- CIN D vs RB
- 19.4
- 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 40%
- Through Week 8
- Target share
- 10%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 8.7
- recent weeks avg
- GB D vs RB
- 25.0
- 7th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 32%
- Through Week 9
- Target share
- 5%
- Through Week 9
Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.
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Our Week 10 call
Start Rico Dowdle over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 10.
Market-based projections have Rico Dowdle at 9.8 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.7, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. No player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. this week yet, so his 8.7 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7, 8 and 9 (11.3, 7.4 and 7.5); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Rico Dowdle at ADP 76 and Aaron Jones Sr. at 110.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 9.8 fantasy points for Rico Dowdle, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market-based projection for Rico Dowdle is 32 rushing yards, 14 receiving yards, 2-3 receptions and 0.4 touchdowns (10, 10, 10 and 11 market sources).
No Week 10 player market is posted for Aaron Jones Sr. yet. His market-based projections were 11.3, 7.4 and 7.5 points in Weeks 7, 8 and 9, an average of 8.7, which stands in until his Week 10 market posts.
That puts Rico Dowdle 1.1 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on these projections.
Week 10 matchups
Rico Dowdle and PIT visit CIN on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.
CIN allowed 19.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 86 yards and 0.7 touchdowns a game against CIN and caught passes for 30 more yards.
Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN visit GB on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
GB allowed 25.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 8 games, the 7th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 94 yards and 1.3 touchdowns a game against GB and caught passes for 34 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Rico Dowdle is not on the injury report.
Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 10
Through Week 8, Rico Dowdle played 40 percent of PIT snaps, took 37 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 27 percent of the red zone chances.
Rico Dowdle, Week 2 against NE: 18 of 70 snaps, 7 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards.
Rico Dowdle, Week 6 against TB: 21 of 79 snaps, 7 carries for 40 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 9 yards.
Rico Dowdle, Week 7 against NO: 28 of 64 snaps, 9 carries for 41 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards.
Rico Dowdle, Week 8 against CLE: 28 of 59 snaps, 15 carries for 56 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 9, Aaron Jones Sr. played 32 percent of MIN snaps, took 32 percent of the carries, drew 5 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.
Aaron Jones Sr., Week 9 against BUF: 5 carries for 16 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Rico Dowdle played 17 games for CAR and scored 216.3 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing RB18.
He ran 236 times for 1076 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 39 of 50 targets for 297 yards.
He was on the field for 56 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.
He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.
He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 10 calls
Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 10, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Rico Dowdle for Aaron Jones Sr.?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Aaron Jones Sr. So make the move after his Week 10 game.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Rico Dowdle?
No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 102 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 8 games), Rico Dowdle 34 (4.2 a game over 8 games). For Week 10 the call starts Rico Dowdle over Aaron Jones Sr.
Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?Should I drop Rico Dowdle?
Week 10 on the board
- Is Rico Dowdle playing Week 10?
- Is Aaron Jones Sr. playing Week 10?
- Steelers depth chart
- Vikings depth chart
- Week 10 RB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings