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Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Ty Johnson in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 5:36 AM ET.

Week 9 verdict

Start

RB · MIN · vs BUF

Market projects
8.3
fantasy pts
BUF D vs RB
26.5
3rd most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
41 of 100 at RB
Snap share
32%
Through Week 8
Target share
6%
Through Week 8
Sit

RB · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
6.1
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs RB
18.4
5th fewest to RBs (2026)
Upside
Limited
38 of 100 at RB
Snap share
24%
Through Week 8
Target share
11%
Through Week 8
Start Jones or Johnson? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Aaron Jones Sr.: 32 percent of the snaps and 30 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Ty Johnson's 21 percent of the snaps and 5 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Ty Johnson for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Ty Johnson 39 (4.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Ty Johnson.

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More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

RB21 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-2

Overall rank
57

RB57 · BUF · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 0-5

Market-based projection
5.2 pts a game Wk 8 price
Overall rank
173

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 57th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Ty Johnson, and the board ranks him 173rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.5 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 8 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for Ty Johnson is 0.8 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Aaron Jones Sr.'s projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 32 percent of MIN snaps, taken 30 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 17 third down targets, had 0 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 2 two minute targets.

His 3 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against IND he carried 8 times for 26 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against DET he carried 5 times for 22 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Through Week 8, Ty Johnson has been on the field for 24 percent of BUF snaps, taken 4 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 1 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have come 1.0 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 5 against LAR he carried 0 times for 0 yards, caught 4 of 4 targets for 72 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LV he carried 1 time for 3 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 24 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BAL he carried 4 times for 4 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Ty Johnson played 17 games and scored 100.3 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB47.

He carried 50 times for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 33 targets for 263 more yards.

That came to 2.9 carries a game at 4.0 yards a carry and 1.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Ty Johnson was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Ty Johnson 5.9, 4.0 a game between them.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished RB41 that year and Ty Johnson RB47.

Aaron Jones Sr. had 82 more carries than Ty Johnson, 132 to 50.

Aaron Jones Sr. had 4 more catches than Ty Johnson, 28 to 24.

This season Aaron Jones Sr. holds the bigger snap share, 32 percent against 24 percent.

This season Aaron Jones Sr. holds the bigger share of the carries, 30 percent against 4 percent.

Byes and availability

Aaron Jones Sr. is off in Week 6 and Ty Johnson in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Ty Johnson for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Ty Johnson 39 (4.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Ty Johnson.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Ty Johnson?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 115 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (12.8 a game over 9 games), Ty Johnson 39 (4.3 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Ty Johnson.

Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr.?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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