Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Ty Johnson? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Ty Johnson in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 8.3 points and Ty Johnson at 6.1, a gap of 2.3. Aaron Jones Sr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. No player market is posted for Ty Johnson this week yet, so his 6.1 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (7.0 and 5.1); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Market coverage on Aaron Jones Sr. is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.3 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Aaron Jones Sr. is 33 rushing yards and 0.4 touchdowns (6 and 8 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Ty Johnson yet. His market-based projections were 7.0 and 5.1 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 6.1, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Ty Johnson is 0.1 touchdowns (8 market sources).

That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 2.3 points ahead of Ty Johnson on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Aaron Jones Sr. and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 26.5 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 3rd most in the league.

Running backs ran for 81 yards and a touchdown a game against BUF and caught passes for 44 more yards.

Ty Johnson and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 18.4 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 7 games, the 5th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 103 yards and 0.6 touchdowns a game against MIN and caught passes for 18 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.

Ty Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Aaron Jones Sr. played 32 percent of MIN snaps, took 30 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 7 against IND: 15 of 59 snaps, 8 carries for 26 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 0 yards.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 8 against DET: 21 of 53 snaps, 5 carries for 22 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 18 yards.

Through Week 8, Ty Johnson played 24 percent of BUF snaps, took 4 percent of the carries, drew 11 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Ty Johnson, Week 4 against NE: 19 of 59 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 9 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 5 against LAR: 14 of 64 snaps, 0 carries for 0 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 72 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 6 against LV: 12 of 68 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 24 yards.

Ty Johnson, Week 8 against BAL: 20 of 82 snaps, 4 carries for 4 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games for MIN and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He ran 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Jones Sr., Week 17 of 2025 against DET: 35 of 54 snaps, 18 carries for 53 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 10 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.3 PPR points.

In 2025, Ty Johnson played 17 games for BUF and scored 100.3 PPR points, 5.9 a game, finishing RB47.

He ran 50 times for 200 yards and 3 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 33 targets for 263 yards.

He was on the field for 29 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Bhayshul Tuten over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Blake Corum over Aaron Jones Sr..
• Start Alvin Kamara over Ty Johnson.
• Start Brian Robinson over Ty Johnson.
• Start Cam Skattebo over Ty Johnson.