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Should I start Aaron Jones Sr. or Tyler Allgeier in Week 7?

Updated Oct 23, 12:51 AM ET.

Week 7 verdict

Start

RB · MIN · vs IND

Market projects
11.5
fantasy pts
IND D vs RB
23.9
6th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
High
94 of 100 at RB
Sit

RB · ARI · vs DEN

Market projects
10.8
fantasy pts
DEN D vs RB
23.3
9th most to RBs (2026)
Upside
Rising
74 of 100 at RB
Snap share
51%
Through Week 6
Target share
6%
Through Week 6
Start Jones or Allgeier? The full Week 7 breakdown

Start Aaron Jones Sr.: 80 percent of the snaps and 74 percent of the carries over their last 3 games, against Tyler Allgeier's 51 percent of the snaps and 37 percent of the carries. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Aaron Jones Sr.?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier, 11.5 to 10.8 projected PPR points.

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Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

RB21 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 5-0

Market-based projection
11.5 pts a game

RB23 · ARI · bye 14

2026 vs carries line 3-3

Overall rank
47

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The gap

  • Board size323 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Aaron Jones Sr., and the board ranks him 44th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Tyler Allgeier, and the board ranks him 47th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Aaron Jones Sr.'s market-based projection is 11.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 72nd highest figure of the 222 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Tyler Allgeier is 10.9 PPR points a game off 2 markets across 13 market sources. That is 70 percent of what a running back's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Tyler Allgeier's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 5, Aaron Jones Sr. has been on the field for 73 percent of MIN snaps, taken 68 percent of the carries, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 39 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 51 third down targets, had 1 of its 2 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 18 targets have come 0.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against TB he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against MIA he carried 20 times for 94 yards, caught 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against NO he carried 25 times for 113 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 6, Tyler Allgeier has been on the field for 51 percent of ARI snaps, taken 34 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 63 third down targets, had 2 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 40 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.1 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 4 against NYG he carried 8 times for 42 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 5 against DET he carried 3 times for 7 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against LAR he carried 18 times for 38 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 10 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. played 12 games and scored 118.7 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing RB41.

He carried 132 times for 548 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 28 of 41 targets for 199 more yards.

That came to 11.0 carries a game at 4.2 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyler Allgeier played 17 games and scored 123.0 PPR points, 7.2 a game, finishing RB39.

He carried 143 times for 514 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 14 of 16 targets for 96 more yards.

That came to 8.4 carries a game at 3.6 yards a carry and 0.8 catches a game.

He was on the field for 30 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyler Allgeier was available for 5 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Aaron Jones Sr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Tyler Allgeier 7.2, 2.7 a game between them.

Aaron Jones Sr. finished RB41 that year and Tyler Allgeier RB39.

Tyler Allgeier had 11 more carries than Aaron Jones Sr., 143 to 132.

Aaron Jones Sr. had 14 more catches than Tyler Allgeier, 28 to 14.

This season Aaron Jones Sr. holds the bigger snap share, 73 percent against 51 percent.

This season Aaron Jones Sr. holds the bigger share of the carries, 68 percent against 34 percent.

Byes and availability

Aaron Jones Sr. is off in Week 6 and Tyler Allgeier in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Tyler Allgeier has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Tyler Allgeier for Aaron Jones Sr.?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Aaron Jones Sr. projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier, 11.5 to 10.8 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Aaron Jones Sr. for Tyler Allgeier?

    No. Keep Aaron Jones Sr.: he projects 153 market-implied PPR points from Week 8 through Week 17 (15.3 a game over 10 games), Tyler Allgeier 65 (7.2 a game over 9 games). For Week 7 the call starts Aaron Jones Sr. over Tyler Allgeier, 11.5 to 10.8 projected PPR points.

Should I drop Tyler Allgeier?

Both players in full

Week 7 on the board

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