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Should I start T.J. Hockenson or AJ Barner in Week 10?

Updated Nov 10, 3:26 PM ET.

Start AJ Barner: 82 percent of the snaps and 16 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against T.J. Hockenson's 50 percent of the snaps and 14 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop AJ Barner for T.J. Hockenson?

Yes, on the rest of the season. T.J. Hockenson projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.2 a game over 8 games), AJ Barner 47 (6.7 a game over 7 games).

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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.

TE19 · MIN · bye 6

2026 vs anytime td line 3-5

Market-based projection
10.5 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
123

TE20 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 2-7

Market-based projection
6.9 pts a game Wk 9 price
Overall rank
130

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The gap

  • Board size307 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on T.J. Hockenson, and the board ranks him 123rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on AJ Barner, and the board ranks him 130th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

The market has T.J. Hockenson at 2.0 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The market-based projection for AJ Barner is 1.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 30 percent of what a tight end's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

T.J. Hockenson's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, T.J. Hockenson has been on the field for 65 percent of MIN snaps, drawn 21 percent of the targets and had 18 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 16 of the offence's 75 third down targets, had 1 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 7.5 air yards.

In Week 7 against IND he caught 4 of 5 targets for 35 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against DET he caught 4 of 5 targets for 58 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against BUF he caught 4 of 7 targets for 33 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, AJ Barner has been on the field for 87 percent of SEA snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 15 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 78 third down targets, had 5 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 8 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 38 targets have averaged 2.6 air yards.

In Week 7 against KC he carried 3 times for 4 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 42 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against CHI he caught 2 of 5 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against ARI he carried 3 times for 3 yards, caught 2 of 4 targets for 7 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 T.J. Hockenson played 15 games and scored 112.8 PPR points, 7.5 a game, finishing TE26.

He caught 51 of 66 targets for 438 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 11 red zone targets.

That came to 4.4 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 8.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 AJ Barner played 17 games and scored 147.3 PPR points, 8.7 a game, finishing TE14.

He caught 52 of 68 targets for 519 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 76 percent catch rate and 10.0 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

AJ Barner was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 AJ Barner scored 8.7 PPR points a game and T.J. Hockenson 7.5, 1.1 a game between them.

T.J. Hockenson finished TE26 that year and AJ Barner TE14.

AJ Barner had 2 more targets than T.J. Hockenson, 68 to 66.

AJ Barner had 81 more receiving yards than T.J. Hockenson, 519 to 438.

This season AJ Barner holds the bigger snap share, 87 percent against 65 percent.

This season T.J. Hockenson holds the bigger target share, 21 percent against 14 percent.

Byes and availability

T.J. Hockenson is off in Week 6 and AJ Barner in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop AJ Barner for T.J. Hockenson?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. T.J. Hockenson projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.2 a game over 8 games), AJ Barner 47 (6.7 a game over 7 games).

  • Should I drop T.J. Hockenson for AJ Barner?

    No. Keep T.J. Hockenson: he projects 82 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (10.2 a game over 8 games), AJ Barner 47 (6.7 a game over 7 games).

Both players in full

Week 10 on the board

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